UFC 327’s Best Betting Props, Parlays And Picks |Prochazka Vs. Ulberg

UFC 327 is reside this weekend (Sat., April 11, 2026) at Kaseya Center in Miami, Fl. and broadcast on Paramount+. This is would be the most stacked PLE of the Paramount+ period to this point, even with considered one of its title fights falling by the wayside.

The principal occasion is soon to be father Jiri Prochazka vs. Carlos Ulberg for the vacant UFC Light Heavyweight title. That belt is on the market after Alex Pereira stated he’d quite struggle Ciryl Gane on the White House garden than defend it.

The co-main occasion is Azamat Murzakanov vs. Paulo Costa, in Borrachinha’s first actual debut within the Light Heavyweight division. He’ll have his fingers full there, with the 16-0 Russian KO machine.

UFC 327’s principal card is rounded out by Curtis Blaydes vs. Josh Hokit, Dominick Reyes vs. Johnny Walker and Cub Swanson vs. Nate Landwehr.

The featured “Prelim” this weekend is Patricio Pitbull vs. Aaron Pico. The “Prelims” even have Kevin Holland vs. Randy Brown and Kelvin Gastelum vs. Vicente Luque.

As all the time, there’s heaps to guess on this card and we’ve acquired odds for all of the fights under:

UFC 327 Main Card Money Line Odds

Jiri Prochazka (-120) vs. Carlos Ulberg (+100)

Prochakza’s shot on the vacant UFC Light Heavyweight title comes after his mythic victory over Khalil Rountree at UFC 320 final October (see it here). That wonderful comeback win earned him each the Fight of the Night and Performance of the Night awards. That was Prochazka’s second win a row, having completed Jamahal Hill again in January, 2025 (see it here). Prochazka’s solely losses since 2015 are to Alex Pereira.

Ulberg was surprised by Kennedy Nzechukwu in his debut again in 2021, dropping by second spherical TKO. All he’s achieved is win since then, although. He’s notched 9 wins in UFC with six stoppages. Last day out he dropped Dominick Reyes. Before that he took cautious choices over Jan Blackowicz and Volkan Oezdemir.

To get straight to the purpose, I’m choosing Prochazka right here. And I don’t know if I’ve a superb cause why. The man simply has ‘aura’, as the child’s say. It simply feels like it is a second that Prochazka will seize upon, even when he has to endure to take action.

Prochazka is a particular character in MMA and he appears able to keen himself to victory. We’ve seen him get in a gap, just a few instances, and simply mentally break himself out of that funk and go forwards with virtually supernatural ranges of endurance and violence.

Ulberg, however, simply looks as if a pleasant fighter. He’s an ideal striker and has numerous dimension and athleticism. And he fights a sensible recreation. In his hardest match-ups to this point, towards Blachowicz and Oezdemir, he fought with intelligence and numerous warning. That helped him get his title shot, however I don’t assume that can get him the title towards a person just like the Last Samurai.

On paper, Ulberg’s stats look higher than Prochazka’s. But you must think about the distinction of their ranges of competitors and additionally the intangibles round Prochazka, which I discussed earlier.

I believe we’re due for a fireplace struggle on this contest, with Prochazka going forwards and Ulberg sitting again in search of a counter shot. If that occurs, will probably be fascinating to see whether or not Ulberg damage’s Prochazka and then places him down or if he hurts him and merely unleashes Prochazka’s last type.

I’ve actually fallen in love with the narrative of this struggle, so I may not be seeing issues as clearly as regular. But even so, I need to stake my cash with Prochazka and again him right here.

Best guess: Jiri Prochazka moneyline (-120)

Curtis Blaydes (-135) vs. Josh Hokit (+114)

Blaydes acquired his hand raised reverse Rizvan Kuniev in June, although he ought to have most likely misplaced that cut up choice. That was his first struggle since he was steamrolled by Tom Aspinall in July, 2024 (see it here) for the interim UFC Heavyweight title. Blaydes’ different latest wins are his TKO over Jailton Almeida, in a struggle he was dropping, and his win over Aspinall (which was on account of Aspinall blowing out his knee).

Hokit has been quick tracked up the UFC rankings after his fast wins over Denzel Freeman and Max Gimenis. His development may be due, partially, to his finances Colby Covington act.

I believe we’re at the moment watching the decline of Blaydes. He’s 2-2 in his final 4. However, while you throw out the cut up choice he ought to have misplaced to Kuniev and the freak harm within the first Aspinall struggle, the one win he’s had in that interval was his victory over Almeida (a struggle he was getting beat up in). His losses are each first spherical stoppages to Aspinall and Sergei Pavlovich. Blaydes’ final completely convincing win was in 2022, over Chris Daukaus.

As repellent as Hokit’s persona could also be, I’ve to confess that he’s a blue chip Heavyweight prospect. The former NFL man strikes with numerous velocity and athleticism, one thing seldom seen within the Heavyweight ranks. Physically, he has all of the instruments to be a high ranked Heavyweight and a part of the “Heavyweights who can actually fight well” membership.

I believe he’s due an enormous popping out social gathering this weekend, which can probably embody one other cringy Macho Man impression on the mic.

I’m feeling this fashion as a result of Blaydes’ has been stopped loads of instances with strikes. All 5 of his professional losses are on account of strikes. His best protection towards them is his wrestling. However, Hokit has proven he’s fairly good on the mat to this point. I believe Hokit goes to be too quick and robust to fall sufferer to Blaydes’ concrete blanket and which means he’ll have numerous alternatives to land energy photographs.

Best guess: Josh Hokit moneyline (+114)

Dominick Reyes (-135) vs. Johnny Walker (+114)

Reyes would have been in the principle occasion tonight had he not misplaced to Carlos Ulberg final September. Reyes misplaced his likelihood for a second title struggle after taking place to a one-two within the first spherical (see it here). He’d received three straight earlier than then, with stoppages of Nikita Krylov, Anthony Smith and Dustin Jacoby.

Walker defied his critics final yr, shocking crimson scorching prospect Zhang Mingyang with a second spherical TKO (see it here). Walker was a +300 underdog in that struggle. It got here after back-to-back KO losses to Volkan Oezdemir and Magomed Ankalaev.

I poured chilly water on Reyes’ scorching streak earlier than his title eliminator and I’ll try this once more right here. The win over Jacoby was spectacular, however he fought Smith on an evening the place Smith wept on his option to the cage. Lionheart had simply suffered the dying of his coach and shut buddy and was in no form to struggle. And Krylov was getting back from a two yr absence.

When you think about these caveats, Reyes’ latest type isn’t almost as spectacular as it’s on paper and that was uncovered by Ulberg.

I believe there’s an opportunity that occurs once more. Walker is a great distance from Ulberg, however he’s full of life and not afraid to assault. I nonetheless have questions on Reyes’ sturdiness, so I believe there’s an opportunity Walker will get by way of to him and scores his second stoppage in a row.

Walker may have 5 inches of attain benefit to assist him in that endeavor.

Best guess: Johnny Walker moneyline (+114)

Azamat Murzakanov (-198) vs. Paulo Costa (+164)

Murzakanov has regarded brutally efficient in UFC to date. He’s received his first six fights and completed all of them, apart from a choice win he took over Dustin Jacoby. Last day out he KO’d Aleksandar Rakic with a jab (see it here). Other victims embody Brendson Ribeiro and Alonzo Menifield.

Costa is again at Light Heavyweight for this bout. His final struggle was a unanimous choice over Roman Kopylov in July. He needed to pull out of a struggle with Brunno Fereira in March. He’s fought six instances since 2020 and is 2-4, with excessive profile losses to Sean Strickland, Robert Whittaker and Israel Adesanya.

This needs to be Murzakanov’s struggle to lose. I’ve questions over how Costa will have a look at Light Heavyweight, not a lot on account of his physique, however simply because I don’t understand how nicely is he going to coach with out the self-discipline that comes with the specter of a weight reduce all the way down to 185. Costa has an ideal chin, however, once more, I don’t know what that’s going to appear like at Light Heavyweight, the place guys can crush.

Murzakanov appears to own ungodly energy. Costa absorbs a ridiculous 6.2 sig. strikes a minute and has solely 49 % protection on sig. strikes. If he retains these numbers at Light Heavyweight, he’s going to finish just a few fights wanting up on the lights, not understanding what occurred.

I actually like Murzakanov’s probabilities of being simply the second man to complete Costa. Murzakanov by TKO/KO is +200. I’m going to take him minus the factors, although, for somewhat insurance coverage.

Best guess: Azamat Murzakanov -3.5 (-105)

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Cub Swanson (+102) vs. Nate Landwehr (+114)

Due to Tatsuro Taira and Joshua Van needing to be rebooked, Swanson’s retirement struggle has been promoted to the principle card at UFC 327. This is scheduled to be Swanson’s thirty fifth profession bout and his twenty sixth within the Octagon. The 42 year-old has been aggressive in his late profession, going win-loss-win-loss since 2019. He received his final struggle, over Billy Quarantillo, by KO in December, 2024 (see it here).

Landwehr is on a two struggle dropping skid. Last day out he was TKO’d by Morgan Charriere (see it here). Before that he was dominated, and stopped, by Doo Ho Choi (see it here). When he first joined UFC, Landwehr scored wins over Ludovit Klein and David Onama.

Landwher appears like a tailor made opponent for Swanson to struggle (and beat) earlier than he rides off into the sundown. These two are most likely going to brawl it out and get the followers on their ft.

In that scenario I favor Swanson’s method over Landwehr’s aggression. I like Landwehr, however I believe Swanson will have the ability to catch him too many instances coming in.

Swanson’s age would concern me if he didn’t look so good towards Quarantillo in his final struggle. And Landwehr is not any spring hen himself. He’s 37.

So give me Swanson to get his Chiesa second within the Kaseya Center.

Best guess: Cub Swanson moneyline (+102)

UFC 327 ‘Prelims’ Under Card Odds

Patricio Pitbull (+270) vs. Aaron Pico (-340)

It’s arduous to know who’s being trolled with this match-up. Is it Pitbull, Pico, us or everybody?

After spending virtually all his profession in Bellator, Pitbull landed within the Octagon with a horrible unanimous choice loss to Yair Rodriguez virtually precisely a yr in the past. He adopted that up with a largely snug choice win over Dan Ige in July. He’s been on the sidelines since then, maybe frozen out as a result of he refused to struggle an chubby Losene Keita in September.

Fellow Bellator vet Pico began his UFC profession with a loss, too. He was wanting good towards Lerone Murphy earlier than getting obliterated with a spinning elbow (see it here). That was in August. That was the fourth KO/TKO lack of Pico’s 18 struggle profession.

I’m not going to overthink this one. Pitbull is 39 in just a few months. Pico, although he’s acquired some put on and tear on him, is in his prime at 29. Pico can also be rather a lot larger, with a 3 inch attain benefit.

Pico’s wrestling had Murphy in numerous hassle early on in that struggle. I believe he’s going to have much more success when wrestling towards the getting older Pitbull. And I don’t assume Pitbull can uncork an enormous struggle ending strike like Murphy did.

The spherical whole is about at 1.5. That’s somewhat curious. I believe Pitbull is washed, however I additionally assume he’s a troublesome out. And if Pico goes to look to simply floor him and assure his first UFC win, then he would possibly take a cautious place over submission strategy for fifteen minutes.

Best guess: Over 1.5 rounds (-188)

Mateusz Gamrot (-180) vs. Esteban Ribovics (+150)

Gamrot’s standing as a darkish horse Lightweight contender has fallen aside since his cut up choice loss to Dan Hooker, his uninspiring win over Ludovit Klein and a submission loss to Charles Oliveira (see it here). Before that he was 7-2 in UFC motion, together with a really questionable choice over Arman Tsarukyan.

Ribovics had one of many fights of the yr in 2024, going toe-to-toe with Daniel Zellhuber for a cut up choice win at Sphere. He did not capitalize on that huge win, although, on account of an absence of exercise. He’s fought solely twice since then, dropping an thrilling cut up choice to Nasrat Haqparast and then successful an thrilling unanimous choice over Elves Brener.

This is a extremely fascinating struggle. We’ve acquired a relentless wrestler versus a relentless quantity striker and two guys who, at instances, battle to seal the deal.

Gamrot’s wrestling recreation fell aside after Hooker was in a position to tag him just a few instances. If Ribovics is touchdown early and typically, I can see that occuring once more. I believed there was a threat of that occuring within the Klein struggle, too, however Gamrot proved simply too huge and cumbersome for Klein to get area and tee off on him.

Ribovics may be higher geared up for standing as much as Gamrot’s wrestling. He’s not huge, however not terribly undersized like Klein was. Ribovics takedown protection is seventy %. Though, the best wrestler he’s ever confronted (Loik Radzhabov) took him down eleven instances on twenty one makes an attempt.

This goes to be a race to see if Ribovics can deplete Gamrot together with his hanging fast sufficient to nullify the wrestling, or if Gamrot can deplete Ribovics sufficient together with his wrestling to sap the ability on Ribovics’ hanging. I’m leaning in the direction of Gamrot right here, since his wrestling is healthier than something Ribovics has seen and that Ribovics hanging is extra dying by a thousand cuts (head kick win over Terrance McKinney apart) and Gamrot would possibly have the ability to climate that early on path to imposing his wrestling.

Best guess: Mateuz Gamrot moneyline (-180)

Kevin Holland (+102) vs. Randy Brown (-122)

This is Holland’s first project of 2026. She managed 5 bouts final yr (not for the primary time in his profession). In 2025 he went 2-3 with wins over Vicente Luque and Gunnar Nelson and losses to Reinier de Ridder, Daniel Rodriguez and Mike Malott. He’s 15-12 1 NC in UFC, regardless of solely becoming a member of the corporate in 2020.

Brown was completed by Gabriel Bonfim in his principal occasion debut final yr (see it here). He earned that APEX principal occasion with a KO over Nicolas Dalby. Prior to that he misplaced a cut up choice over Bryan Battle.

I believe it is a unhealthy match-up for Brown and I’m shocked to see the chances the place they’re. Holland may have some attain and muscle on Brown. Both males are fairly related within the hanging division, however I believe Holland has extra energy.

When it involves grappling, Holland is extra slick and extra more likely to search for submissions.

Though Holland has had much more highs than Brown, he has had some fairly notable lows, too. Those normally come about by way of poor choice making. Brown is much more regular, albeit much less spectacular. Brown might be not going to do one thing to place himself in numerous hassle. But, by the identical token, he’s most likely not going to do one thing wild and sudden that might win the struggle out of nowhere.

I’m going to go Holland, hoping the massive stage (and the lesser recognized opponent) conspire for considered one of his spotlight reel finishes.

Best guess: Kevin Holland moneyline (+102)

Tatiana Suarez (-155) vs. Loopy Godinez (+130)

Suarez took a unanimous choice over Amanda Lemos in September. She didn’t have issues completely her personal means in that struggle, although. Prior to that, nothing went her means, in a 5 spherical drubbing she took from Zhang Weili. The Zhang loss, for the UFC Strawweight title, was Suarez’s first professional loss.

Godinez took a cushty choice over Jessica Andrade in August. Before that she took a choice over Julia Polastri. She’s 6-2 in her final eight. The two losses have been to Mackenzie Dern and Virna Jandiroba.

I’m actually undecided what to make of Suarez at this stage of her profession. She acquired drained late towards Lemos and then acquired actually lit up on the ft. She probably acquired drained due to how a lot Lemos made her work for takedowns. She went three for twelve in that struggle.

I believe there’s an opportunity Godinez makes issues much more troublesome, in that respect. Outside of Zhang, Godinez might be the best wrestler Suarez has ever confronted. Godinez can also be a really keen striker, who has proven some good growth in that space. Against Andrade, Godinez landed 107 vital strikes.

If Godinez stuffs takedowns higher than Lemos did and is ready to land punches, we would see Suarez get worn down. I’m keen to take an opportunity on that for plus odds.

Best guess: Loopy Godinez moneyline (+130)

UFC 327 Early ‘Prelims’

Kelvin Gastelum (-250) vs. Vicente Luque (+205)

Gastelum received a really enjoyable struggle over Dustin Stoltzfus in September. He managed to out muscle Stoltzfus, which could have been helped by him lacking weight (by rather a lot). Before that he misplaced a choice to Joe Pyfer. His different most up-to-date win was weight assisted, too. He beat Daniel Rodriguez by choice, in Saudi Arabia in 2024, in a bout the place Rodriguez was compelled to struggle at Middleweight on account of Gastelum having no likelihood of constructing the Welterweight restrict. Gastelum is now 14-10 1 NC in his UFC profession.

Luque misplaced a lopsided choice to Joel Alvarez in his final struggle. That was again in October. He was imagined to struggle Kyle Daukaus right here, however Daukaus has been moved onto the White House card (since he’s such an enormous star). Prior to the Alvarez struggle, Luque misplaced to Kevin Holland by submission (see it here). Luque is now 16-8 in UFC motion.

This is a enjoyable struggle and it’s nice struggle reserving. Neither of those guys needs to be going through up and comers or high title contenders. They needs to be combating guys like them, vets with title worth who’re near being, however not fully, over the hill.

I believe the burden class will actually favor Gastelum on this struggle. Luque fought at Middlweight again in his very early profession, however he’s going towards an opponent who is understood for being heavy and utilizing each ounce of his weight. Gastelum might be going to weigh much more than Luque after they step into the cage. And I believe we’re going to see that by how comfortably Gastelum will have the ability to press Luque as much as the fence and hold him there.

Luque is taller and longer than Gastelum, however he received’t be as thick. Gastelum has the wrestling benefit, so Luque will probably want a end to win this. Gastelum may need the best chin in MMA proper now, so I don’t see him taking place towards Luque.

Best guess: Kelvin Gastelum moneyline (-250)

MarQuel Mederos (+150) vs. Chris Padilla (-180)

Mederos was on account of struggle Nazim Sadykhov at this occasion. However, on account of harm, Padilla slides in to take that spot. Mederos is 3-0 in UFC, to date, with choices over Mark Choinski, Austin Hubbard and Landon Quinones.

Padilla is on a really good run in the meanwhile, going 4-0 in UFC and 7-0 total. He debuted in 2024 with a primary spherical submission win over James Llontop (see it here), whereas a +340 underdog. He then stopped Rongzhu (as a +200 underdog) and received a cut up choice over Jai Herbert. Last day out he TKO’d Ismael Bonfim (see it here).

Padilla has proven himself to be very artful and sensible, to this point in his profession. He’s additionally proven he has plus hanging and grappling, which is uncommon for somebody on this rung of the UFC ladder. Mederos has proven some good versatility to this point, too, however he’s not achieved it towards the identical stage of competitors.

Mederos has a leg kick heavy offense (25 and 35 % of his sig. strikes have been leg kicks in his previous few fights). I believe Padilla could be very inventive, although, and he’ll have the ability to mitigate a few of that with checks, stance switches and perhaps even a take down.

Best guess: Chris Padilla moneyline (-180)

Charles Radtke (-185) vs. Francisco Prado (+154)

Radtke confirmed off some improved grappling final day out, by taking out Daniel Frunza with an RNC (see it here). He additionally confirmed that he might do greater than play rock ‘em sock ‘em robots in that fight. That prior approach had earned him wins over Gilbert Urbina and Matthew Semelsberger. But it had also led to big KO losses to Carlos Prates (see it here) and Mike Malott (see it here).

Prado is on a three fight losing skid. He’s additionally 1-4 in UFC. His final three losses have been choices to Nikolay Veretennikov, Jake Matthews and Daniel Zellhuber. The Zellhuber struggle earned him a Fight of the Night bonus. Many scored the Veretennikov struggle for Prado (as did I).

I used to be very impressed by Radtke’s final outing. He felt very composed and simply had a transparent concept of every thing he wished to do. I’m not mad at numerous Prado’s losses. He’s fought robust opposition. But he has been irritating to look at and seemingly struggles to essentially assert himself and make convincing arguments for him successful bouts.

This conflict of kinds actually favors Radtke, for my part. Radtke additionally has three inches of attain on Prado and he lands his sig. strikes with rather more accuracy (54 % versus 43 %).

Best guess: Charles Radtke moneyline (-185)

UFC 327 Long Shots!

Here’s a few lengthy photographs for Saturday evening’s motion …

Azamat Murzakanov to win by KO/TKO/DQ in Round 1 (+450)

I believe Murzakanov is a severe contender within the Light Heavyweight division. And I believe Paul Costa’s transfer to the division is our of desperation and not as a result of he’s a real match at this weight class. I don’t assume he can be ready for the ability Murzakanov possess.

Two guess parlay: Reyes vs. Walker Over 1.5 rounds, Swanson vs. Landwehr Under 2.5 rounds (+450)

Reyes and Walker can be wild and there must be a end in right here. However, I believe that may be a little bit of dancing and prancing within the first spherical and {that a} end might be going to return within the second interval. I’m hoping it occurs within the late second spherical and I’m pairing that hope with my hopes that Swanson and Landwehr ends early. I believe Cub has been given an ideal opponent for his retirement struggle and he’s acquired an ideal likelihood of stopping Landwehr early.

Josh Hokit vs. Curtis Blaydes First Minute Finish (+1100)

Hokit is an especially annoying presence in MMA proper now. But he’s additionally, sadly, excellent. Blaydes hasn’t regarded good over the previous few years and I don’t assume he’s sturdy or fast sufficient to final lengthy towards Hokit. I’ll take this and additionally hope that Blaydes would possibly shock us all by silencing Hokit in beneath sixty seconds (and thus spare us from him getting any time on the mic).

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