The 2026 Rolex Monte-Carlo Masters is underway on the Monte-Carlo Country Club, and the clay-court motion actually heats up on the French Riviera. We’ve damaged down the day’s greatest tennis betting picks for Monte-Carlo, digging into matchup ways, floor tendencies, and present kind to search out the sharpest edges on the board. Whether you’re betting the moneyline, sport unfold, set unfold, or whole, our 2026 Monte-Carlo Masters greatest bets are constructed that can assist you revenue. I’m dropping a few of my favourite performs for Thursday, April 9 beneath, however be sure to additionally monitor the picks page all through the day. I usually have just a few extra picks over there, plus I sometimes add performs based mostly on how traces are shifting. That’s additionally the place Gill Alexander posts his greatest bets.
Casper Ruud vs. Felix Auger-Aliassime
Auger-Aliassime has received three straight matches towards Ruud, with two of them approaching outside clay. However, I’m nonetheless discovering it laborious to put off the Norwegian right here. Ruud is 160-57 on the filth in his profession, successful a outstanding 73.7% of his matches. Meanwhile, Auger-Aliassime is simply 50-44 on clay, which is sweet for solely 53.2%. Ruud’s 7.98 clay-court Performance Rating at TennisViz and Tennis Data Innovations over the past 52 weeks additionally occurs to be an excellent deal increased than Auger-Aliassime’s 7.67 ranking.
There’s only a lot when total clay-court historical past and up to date clay-court efficiency that means ignoring the head-to-head is the way in which to go right here.
I’d additionally argue that Monte-Carlo affords among the purist clay-court situations. These matches are sluggish, bodily, and ugly, which ought to profit Ruud a bit extra. Auger-Aliassime desires to serve up unreturnables and blast winners from the baseline, however all of that shall be tough in Monaco. Well, Ruud is way extra prone to be the participant that takes benefit of the situations and wins the point-construction battle.
Bet: Ruud ML (-148 – 1.5 models)
Matteo Berrettini vs. Joao Fonseca
Zizou Bergs vs. Alexander Zverev
I feel there’s an actual probability Berrettini beats Fonseca on Thursday, however I’m taking him to win a set as a substitute. To get a greater worth on that safer choose, I’m pairing the Italian with a moneyline play on Zverev.
With Berrettini, it’s simply clear he’s regaining his confidence in Monte-Carlo. These courts have all the time suited his sport, however he’s via to the third spherical with out having misplaced a sport. Sure, he solely must play 4 of them towards Roberto Bautista Agut earlier than the Spaniard retired, however following that up with a 6-0, 6-0 win over Daniil Medvedev was great. Berrettini’s Performance Rating via two matches is now 8.66, which is extraordinarily excessive. And total, I do assume his sport can bother Fonseca. For starters, Berrettini’s service video games are somewhat extra easy. Fonseca will find yourself being a unbelievable server, however he does sometimes sleepwalk via service video games and provides his opponents probabilities to interrupt. On these courts, Berrettini can money in on these probabilities. Also, from the again of the court docket, Berrettini is without doubt one of the few gamers in tennis with a forehand as huge as Fonseca’s.
In the opposite match, I’m simply unsure Bergs is strong sufficient to persistently hit via Zverev’s elite clay-court protection. Bergs is an effective participant that may bother anybody when he’s on his sport, however he’s additionally somewhat erratic. Zverev will deliver the worst out of him from the baseline, whereas additionally holding so much simpler.
PARLAY: Berrettini +1.5 Sets & Zverev ML (-123)
