The ATP and WTA Tours are again on exhausting courts, and the motion is about to ramp up because the street to the 2026 US Open will get underway. With the summer season swing now in full circulation, this stretch is all about gamers sharpening their timing, adjusting to the situations, and constructing momentum earlier than New York. There’s a busy slate this week, giving us a lot to dig into throughout each excursions because the hard-court season begins to take form. I’ll be posting my tennis finest bets Monday by Friday, then I’ll roll out my championship picks on the VSiN Pro Picks web page for the weekend finals. With that in thoughts, maintain studying for my tennis finest bets for the Mubadala DC Open for Tuesday, July 28.
NOTE: Gill Alexander, host of A Numbers Game, posts a bunch of tennis performs to the VSiN picks web page. He does an awesome job handicapping tennis. That web page can be the place I publish all of my Challenger-level picks + performs for all the tournaments I’m not writing up every day.
Kamil Majchrzak vs. Tommy Paul
While Paul would usually be a bet-on participant on this match, I do surprise how he’ll regulate to life on tour after a marriage and honeymoon. If Paul is sluggish in any manner, form, or type, he loses his superpowers: his aggressive hearth and talent to grind. Majchrzak additionally occurs to be a rock-solid participant. He received an enormous title in ‘s-Hertogenbosch last month, and he’s 13-12 for the reason that begin of the season. Majchrzak is an aggressive participant, so he’ll look to get Paul transferring early. He’ll additionally try to make the most of some drop photographs to essentially check the American’s legs. Paul is understandably an enormous favorite right here. All issues equal, he’s a a lot better participant than Majchrzak. But this can be a powerful opponent to come back again to. I like Majchrzak’s probabilities of successful a set — and probably successful the match.
Bet: Majchrzak +1.5 Sets (+100 – 1.5 models) & Majchrzak ML (+310 – 0.5 models)
Alexandra Eala vs. Qinwen Zheng
Eala is coming off an unimaginable grass-court season, going 12-4 within the brief grass swing. It’s clear that floor actually fits her recreation, as her weak serve turns into just a little extra harmful with the way it knifes by the courtroom. Unfortunately for Eala, it’s all hard-court tennis from right here. And whereas Eala is strong on this floor, this does look like a brutal matchup. Zheng remains to be trying to discover her recreation in her return from damage. The course of has been lengthy and tiring. But there’s a great likelihood it begins to occur within the coming weeks. Zheng is 86-48 on exhausting courts in her WTA profession, and her huge serves and aggressive baselining ought to make her a brutal draw for everybody the remainder of the way in which. In this particular match, I simply see Zheng having a a lot simpler time holding serve, and I additionally envision her overpowering Eala from the again of the courtroom.
Bet: Zheng ML (-142)
Stefanos Tsitsipas vs. Alex de Minaur
It’d be good to be getting early 2026 pricing on Tsitsipas, however I’ll take any plus-money odds I can get right here. Tsitsipas simply picked up some confidence with a clay-court title in Gstaad, the place he seemed extraordinarily snug shuffling his ft to arrange his large forehand. Moving over to a brand new floor will certainly take a bit away, however he’s going to love his possibilities in opposition to de Minaur. Tsitsipas is 12-1 on this head-to-head sequence, and he has even discovered wins over de Minaur throughout a few of the darkest stretches of his profession. The actuality is that de Minaur must be taking part in flawless tennis so as to overcome the distinction in weapons on this one. Also, de Minaur’s flat backhand doesn’t stand up excessive sufficient to hassle the weak Tsitsipas one-handed backhand in cross-court exchanges. I’ll additionally add that de Minaur is one other participant that obtained married lately, so he’s dealing with the identical factor as Paul. He’s additionally coping with fairly a little bit of strain, as he’s the defending champion right here and may lose a bunch of factors if he doesn’t win the occasion.
Bet: Tsitsipas ML (+103 – 2 models)
Added Plays
I often have A LOT MORE on the Pro Picks page. Those performs depend in direction of my document and have been an enormous a part of my success this season. Make positive you examine them out. I’ll in all probability add a couple of extra over there, so refresh that web page all through the day in case you’re wanting for motion.
