A powerful and vigorous climate maker shall be crossing our space late Wednesday by way of Wednesday night time. The mixture of heat, humidity and different atmospheric dynamics has positioned a lot of Western and Central New York within the crosshairs of thunderstorms which domestically might trigger wind harm, hail and probably extra.
It’s a part of our subsequent climate makers:
Central New York’s subsequent climate makers
Before attending to Wednesday and Wednesday night time, it seems that Tuesday night time needs to be comparatively quiet with a partly cloudy sky. However, as a consequence of excessive humidity and dew level ranges, there’ll seemingly be areas of fog and low clouds that will kind. The finest likelihood for fog and even dense fog shall be fog inclined areas particularly south and east of Syracuse. If you find yourself in fog, please decelerate particularly when the visibility is low.
Otherwise, let’s focus on timing and impacts of those thunderstorms.
Here is an general have a look at the threats for Wednesday and Wednesday night time:
Severe thunderstorm and flash flooding dangers for Wednesday and Wednesday night time by way of the Storm Prediction & Weather Prediction Centers
Looking at this chart above, the best threat for damaging thunderstorms shall be for western areas of Central New York and factors west into Western New York. However, the menace for flash flooding is definitely highest inside Central New York.
Let’s focus on timing and different impacts:
–Our first alternative for a damaged line of showers and thunderstorms will transfer from west to east throughout Western New York early to mid-morning after which no matter is leftover of that line if it survives the journey would cross the Fair and the I-81 hall roughly on the finish of the morning and lunch hour. The finest likelihood for any extreme thunderstorms from this preliminary line seems to be west of our native space. However, it does naked watching and we’ll for you.
–While I can’t rule out a broadly remoted thunderstorm throughout the afternoon, it seems that the very best likelihood for a line of robust to extreme thunderstorms would cross into Central New York round or after sundown Wednesday. It appears to me that the best threat for any wind harm, hail harm or probably an remoted twister can be with this preliminary line of thunderstorms round or after sundown. The highest threat for harm does come for wind and hail. However, pc fashions point out the potential for rotating thunderstorms anyplace in Central and Western New York. This is why we have to no less than embody a really low threat that somebody within the fast CNY space will get a twister. The highest threat domestically can be throughout the Finger Lakes area and factors west into Western New York. We will monitor,
–Thereafter, a few of our pc fashions redevelop further downpours and/or thunderstorms throughout Wednesday night time after the preliminary line of thunderstorms. These identical pc fashions indicated 2-4″ of rain or more during Wednesday night. This is why I have included at relatively high 15 to 30% risk for flash flooding within 25 miles of any one spot across the immediate Central New York area. It is unknown where precisely the repetitive heaviest thunderstorms would be in our local area. However, if you live in a flash flood prone area, you should at least be paying attention to what is going on Wednesday night.
For more specifics about this, watch my video forecast:
Video forecast from NBC3 News Live at 5:30 PM Tuesday September 1st, 2026