Two Argentines, an Italian champion, and a teenage Spaniard making historical past. The semifinals on the Grand Prix Hassan II in Marrakech have delivered a compelling ultimate 4, and Saturday’s matches on the crimson clay must be properly price watching. As at all times, we right here at LWOT might be providing our predictions for each match on the schedule. But who reaches the ultimate?
ATP Marrakech Semifinal Predictions
Rafael Jodar vs Camilo Ugo Carabelli
Head-to-Head: First assembly
Jodar’s run right here has been nothing in need of outstanding for a 19-year-old in his first clay-court swing on the ATP Tour. He beat Lajovic comfortably, got here by a tricky three-setter in opposition to Machac, and was dominant in opposition to Muller earlier than the Frenchman retired. The Spaniard is aggressive from the again of the court docket, leans on his serve closely, and his forehand can harm on slower surfaces. He is only the fourth teenager to succeed in the Marrakech semifinals this century, which tells you lots concerning the high quality of this run.
Ugo Carabelli isn’t any mushy contact, although. The Argentine has gone 9-3 on clay in 2026 and needed to dig deep throughout his three matches right here, together with a comeback win over Van Assche after dropping the primary set 6-0. He is a seasoned clay-court competitor who is aware of learn how to win ugly, break rhythms, and maintain the ball in play underneath strain. This is his sixth ATP quarterfinal on the floor, and he has been battle-hardened all week.
Jodar’s recreation is constructed for moments like this, and his confidence is sky-high proper now. But Ugo Carabelli’s resilience and clay-court know-how make him a tough opponent at any stage. Jodar’s serve and talent to complete factors shortly ought to show the distinction in a match that might simply go three units.
Prediction: Jodar in 3
Luciano Darderi vs Marco Trungelliti
Head-to-Head: First assembly
Darderi arrives right here as defending champion and arguably essentially the most in-form clay-court participant within the draw. Ranked nineteenth on this planet, he has gained 17 of his final 19 matches on clay and has been close to flawless this week, dropping no units and barely dealing with a break level in his two accomplished matches. He gained the Santiago title earlier within the yr and appears utterly at residence again on the Marrakech crimson clay.
Trungelliti has been one of many tales of this clay swing. The 36-year-old reached his second ATP semifinal with a three-set win over Moutet, going 4-6 6-3 6-4, and has put collectively an impressive 12-1 report on clay in 2026. He began from qualifying and has not stopped. His potential to increase rallies, grind opponents down, and compete deep into deciding units has been evident all week.
The downside for Trungelliti is that Darderi thrives in precisely the form of lengthy baseline exchanges the Argentine desires to create. The Italian is a greater mover, a cleaner ball-striker on clay, and he is aware of each nook of this court docket. Trungelliti deserves monumental credit score for getting right here, however Darderi ought to have sufficient to advance with out an excessive amount of bother.
Prediction: Darderi in 2
Main Photo Credit: Smartframe Images
