The ATP Masters 1000 Madrid Round of 16 continues with two intriguing matchups the place underdogs may provide worth. Terence Atmane’s robust performances this week counsel he can problem Alexander Zverev, whereas Karen Khachanov’s expertise and head-to-head benefit make him a strong decide to maintain issues shut in opposition to Jakub Mensik.
ATP Masters 1000 Madrid 1/16-Finals
Atmane – Zverev: 28.04.2026 20:00 CEST
H2H: first assembly
Terence Atmane has misplaced three of his final 5 matches. Two weeks in the past in Barcelona, the Frenchman misplaced to Fils within the opening spherical in three tight units. Atmane has by no means made it previous the qualifying match right here. This week in Madrid, Atmane received the opening-round match in opposition to Kecmanovic in straight units, providing no breakpoints. In the second spherical, Atmane defeated Humbert in two tiebreaks.
Alexander Zverev has received 4 of his final 5 matches. Last week in Munich, the German misplaced to Cobolli within the semifinals in straight units. He was the champion right here in 2018 and 2021. This week in Madrid, the German defeated Navone within the opening match, three units to at least one. He struggled within the second set on his serve. Last season, Zverev misplaced to Cerundolo within the fourth spherical in straight units.
Best Bet to Make
According to the bookies, Zverev is the clear favorite on this matchup, however we disagree. Atmane performed effectively in Barcelona and in Madrid as effectively. He defeated strong clay-court gamers. We consider that if he serves effectively, the Frenchman will preserve this match shut.
That being stated, Atmane protecting the video games handicap is a price wager.
Value wager/ the very best odds: Terence Atmane +4.5 video games handicap @1.57 @bet365
Khachanov – Mensik: 27.04.2026 20:30 CEST
H2H: 2-0
Karen Khachanov has misplaced three of his final 5 matches. Two weeks in the past in Barcelona, Khachanov misplaced to Ugo Carabelli within the opening spherical in straight units. This week in Madrid, the Russian defeated Walton in straight units. He provided and saved three breakpoints. He was the quarterfinalist right here in 2023. Last season in Madrid, Khachanov misplaced to Tommy Paul within the third spherical in three units.
Jakub Mensik has received three of his final 5 matches. The final match he performed earlier than the ATP Madrid was in Miami. In his opening clay-court match of the season, the Czech defeated Damm within the opening match in straight units. He served effectively, saving each breakpoints. The excellent truth is that he hit 24 winners with simply 5 unforced errors. Last season in Madrid, Mensik misplaced to Cerundolo within the quarterfinals in three units.
Best Bet to Make
According to the bookies, Khachanov is the slight underdog on this matchup, however we disagree. Khachanov received each head-to-head conferences in opposition to Mensik and is a greater clay-court participant. We count on Khachanov to maintain this match shut.
That being stated, Khachanov protecting the video games handicap is a price wager.
Value wager/ the very best odds: Karen Khachanov +1.5 video games handicap @1.91 @bet365
Main Photo Credit: Susan Mullane-USA TODAY Sports
