An in-depth look at IU basketball transfer portal target Jaeden Mustaf – The Daily Hoosier

An in-depth look at IU basketball transfer portal target Jaeden Mustaf – The Daily Hoosier

Georgia Tech transfer Jaeden Mustaf just lately accomplished a go to to Indiana, and the Hoosiers are anticipated to be robust contenders for the 6-foot-6 and 210-pound wing.

We beforehand lined Mustaf as a reputation to know this transfer portal cycle.  Now let’s take a better look at his sport.

Mustaf will not be a heavy utilization participant.  His 19.8 utilization charge was seventh on Georgia Tech this previous season.  And at 19.4, he’s not taking an outsized share of the crew’s photographs when on the ground both.

He’s greatest regarded as a 3rd possibility, somebody who can get to the paint late shot clock, exploit mismatches, rating in transition, and take open photographs when the protection is in rotation.  Big scoring video games should not out of the query, nevertheless.  He scored 28 at Clemson this 12 months, and he’s had 9 video games of 15 or extra factors, with six of these coming in opposition to excessive main opponents.

Based on field rating plus-minus (BPM), Mustaf measured barely higher on offense than protection.  He had the fifth-highest general BPM (.2) on an 11-20  Georgia Tech crew that completed 2-16 within the ACC.  He had the fourth-best offensive BPM (0.0) and eight-best on protection (.2).  The Yellow Jackets ranked simply No. 213 nationally in offensive effectivity and No. 131 on protection, so this wasn’t a simple crew to submit spectacular numbers for on both finish of the ground.

In 2024-25, Mustaf was -1.4 general for BPM, -2.8 on offense and 1.4 on protection as a freshman.  So on the entire, he made progress.

When it involves factors over a mean alternative participant at the identical utilization (PRPG), Mustaf was third on Georgia Tech at 1.7, an enchancment over .8 as a freshman.

While these metrics recommend warning in the case of anticipating Mustaf to be a standout, it must be famous his BPM and PRPG each climbed in opposition to convention, top-100 and top-50 opponents this season.  His utilization went up in these video games, and his capturing percentages have been usually all higher in these video games as effectively. That’s all at least partially as a result of Mustaf is an effective athlete with a high-major physique.  He’s not one who pads his stats in opposition to decrease degree groups, and he’s constructed to succeed in opposition to physicality, size and athleticism.

Mustaf has by no means been a high-volume 3-point shooter and he most likely received’t turn out to be that at his subsequent cease.  He did enhance year-over-year in each try charge and make share.  He was 11-32 (34.4%) as a freshman, and 21-54 (38.9%) as a sophomore.  He did make 16-38 (42.1%) from three in ACC video games, which was tenth-best within the league.

95.2% of his makes from three have been assisted.  Mustaf is respectable in open catch-and-shoot conditions, however he isn’t more likely to turn out to be a high-volume sniper who creates his personal long-range makes an attempt off the bounce and hunts contested photographs from past the arc.  Think situational Trey Galloway in 2022-23, when he made 46.2%.

Mustaf’s capturing percentages from two, three and the free throw line all improved from his freshman to sophomore 12 months, as did his offensive and defensive rebounding charges, help charge and turnover charge.

A bodily, aggressive driver who seeks contact, Mustaf will get to the charity stripe usually.  He had 110 makes an attempt in 2025-26.  In ACC video games, he ranked No. 23 within the league drawing 4.4 fouls per sport. And his 49% convention free throw charge (FTA/FGA) was No. 10 within the league.

Mustaf additionally rebounded at a better charge in opposition to top-50 competitors, and his blocks and steals went up as effectively — extra indicators he’s constructed for the pains of the Big Ten.  The one space of concern because the competitors degree will increase — his turnover charge additionally went up in these video games.

Overall, Mustaf can clearly be a key contributor on a excessive main crew.  His exact function and enjoying time might be decided by who he’s surrounded by at the subsequent cease and the system he performs in.  But there’s rather a lot to work with right here.  Mustaf could be an necessary a part of a great crew.

SHOT CHARTS

(via CBB Analytics)

For full protection of IU basketball recruiting, GO HERE.  


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