Variety Awards Circuit part is the house for all awards information and associated content material all year long, that includes the next: the official predictions for the upcoming Oscars, Emmys, Grammys and Tony Awards ceremonies, curated by Variety chief awards editor Clayton Davis. The prediction pages mirror the present standings in the race and don’t mirror private preferences for any particular person contender. As different formal (and casual) polls counsel, competitions are fluid and topic to vary primarily based on buzz and occasions. Predictions are up to date each Thursday.
The Pitt
Primetime Emmys Predictions Commentary All Categories (Updated: March 12, 2026): As one awards season ends, one other in a unique leisure medium is about to start.
The 79th Emmy Awards are nonetheless months away, with nominations arriving July 8 and the ceremony set for Sept. 14 on NBC and Peacock, however the dialog is already underway. With an eligibility window working by the tip of May and the nomination voting interval set for June 11 to 22, the sphere is each large open and uniquely aggressive as streaming giants and legacy networks vie for tv’s most coveted honors.
On the drama facet, HBO Max seems notably formidable. Two-time, record-breaking Emmy winner Zendaya returns in “Euphoria,” presumably for the ultimate season, below huge expectations and with a fan base that merely won’t give up. Noah Wyle is again with the sophomore season of the medical drama “The Pitt,” able to defend his crown.
Apple TV continues to reward affected person viewers with “Slow Horses,” whereas the freshman collection “Pluribus,” led by Rhea Seehorn, has generated essential warmth that implies it won’t be missed. Hulu is swinging exhausting with “The Testaments” and “Paradise,” the latter anchored by Sterling Ok. Brown in a few of the most compelling work of his embellished profession.
Paramount+ brings star energy with one other Taylor Sheridan challenge, “The Madison,” that includes Kurt Russell and Michelle Pfeiffer, a pairing clearly designed to seize Television Academy consideration.
Netflix leans on nostalgia and cultural influence with the ultimate season of “Stranger Things,” reminding voters of the present’s lasting significance. The streaming big additionally returns with the third season of “The Diplomat,” following Keri Russell’s current success on the Actor Awards, previously the SAG Awards.
Comedy is much more crowded this 12 months. HBO Max fields the ultimate season of “Hacks” and the returning “The Comeback,” with Jean Smart as soon as once more a near-lock for lead actress recognition, even earlier than the fifth season airs. Lisa Kudrow additionally reminds voters of her enduring comedic timing and iconic character.
FX’s “The Bear” set the usual for comedy in earlier seasons, however the fourth season has generated much less buzz than its predecessors. ABC’s “Abbott Elementary” continues to thrive, anchored by Quinta Brunson and a deep supporting forged together with Sheryl Lee Ralph, Janelle James, and Tyler James Williams. Chris Perfetti or Lisa Ann Walter might be a part of the Emmy dialog this season.
Apple TV has quietly delivered one of many warmest comedies with “Shrinking,” that includes a stunning flip from Harrison Ford, who will intention to assert the Emmy he misplaced final 12 months. Netflix continues with the second season of “Nobody Wants This,” which earned Kristen Bell a few of the season’s most enthusiastic reward. Prime Video debuts the extremely anticipated “Jury Duty Presents: Company Retreat,” testing whether or not Emmy voters embrace the format-bending power that made the unique collection so beloved.
The restricted collection and film classes are equally aggressive. HBO Max’s “Half Man” follows up the phenomenon of “Baby Reindeer” with one other deeply private, formally daring challenge from Richard Gadd, alongside Jamie Bell. FX affords “Love Story,” anchored by a stacked ensemble together with Paul Anthony Kelly, Sarah Pidgeon, Alessandro Nivola, Grace Gummer, and Naomi Watts. Netflix juggles the already launched “The Beast in Me,” reuniting Claire Danes with status drama, alongside the following version of the darkish anthology collection “Beef,” showcasing Oscar Isaac, Carey Mulligan, Charles Melton, and Cailee Spaeny. Peacock’s “All Her Fault,” starring Sarah Snook recent off her “Succession” triumph, is predicted to mount one of many season’s most watched campaigns.
In the film class, Netflix might dominate with “Peaky Blinders: The Immortal Man,” a feature-length send-off for the beloved franchise, alongside “Happy Gilmore 2,” which can show that populist comedy nonetheless has a spot on the Emmy stage.
Acting races are exceptionally deep this season. Kathy Bates returns in the sophomore season of CBS’ “Matlock,” whereas darkish horses resembling Alexander Skarsgård in “Murderbot” and Yahya Abdul-Mateen II in Disney’s “Wonder Man” have sturdy advocates behind them. Comedy lead actress is probably going the tightest race, that includes current Oscar nominees Kate Hudson in Netflix’s “Running Point” and Elle Fanning in Apple TV’s freshman collection “Margo’s Got Money Troubles.”
Fox has a brand new entry this 12 months, “Best Medicine,” premiering on the finish of March and starring Josh Charles. The hour-long comedy-drama hybrid will likely be attention-grabbing to trace for awards submission technique. Fox additionally continues to area its animated flagship, “The Simpsons.”
AMC might now not dominate because it did with “Breaking Bad,” however it might have a breakout with Jonathan Glatzer’s thriller “The Audacity,” starring Billy Magnussen and Sarah Goldberg, set towards the backdrop of Silicon Valley.
Surveying the panorama this early, no single present or community is assured to dominate, making the following few months genuinely thrilling and large open.
This listing is nowhere full, and the person class pages will likely be launched over the approaching weeks. The race will change as quick as our channels do.
Projected nomination leaders (collection): TBD
Projected nomination leaders (networks): Netflix (27); HBO Max (25); Apple TV (15); Hulu (10)
*** = PREDICTED WINNER
(All predicted nominees listed beneath are in alphabetical order)
Drama Series
Image Credit: Netflix “The Diplomat” (Netflix)
“Euphoria” (HBO Max)
“The Madison” (Paramount+)
“Paradise” (Hulu)
“The Pitt” (HBO Max) ***
“Pluribus” (Apple TV)
“Slow Horses” (Apple TV)
“The Testaments” (Hulu)Emmy class web page with rankings>>>Coming Soon
Comedy Series
“Abbott Elementary” (ABC)
“The Bear” (FX)
“The Comeback” (HBO Max)
“Hacks” (HBO Max) ***
“Jury Duty Presents: Company Retreat” (Prime Video)
“Nobody Wants This” (Netflix)
“Only Murders in the Building” (Hulu)
“Shrinking” (Apple TV)Emmy class web page with rankings>>>Coming Soon
Limited or Anthology Series
Image Credit: HBO Max “All Her Fault” (Peacock)
“The Beast in Me” (Netflix)
“Beef” (Netflix)
“Half Man” (HBO Max) ***
“Love Story” (FX)Emmy class web page with rankings>>>Coming Soon
Outstanding Movie
Image Credit: Netflix “Echo Valley” (Apple TV)
“Remarkably Bright Creatures” (Netflix)
“Peaky Blinders: The Immortal Man” (Netflix) ***
“Queen of Coal” (Netflix)
”The Thursday Murder Club” (Netflix)Emmy class web page with rankings>>>Coming Soon
Lead Actor (Drama)
Image Credit: FX Sterling Ok. Brown, “Paradise” (Hulu)
Ethan Hawke, “The Lowdown” (FX)
Gary Oldman, “Slow Horses” (Apple TV)
Mark Ruffalo, “Task” (HBO Max)
Kurt Russell, “The Madison” (Paramount+)
Noah Wyle, “The Pitt” (HBO Max) ***Emmy class web page with rankings>>>Coming Soon
Lead Actor (Comedy)
Image Credit: Hulu Domhnall Gleeson, “The Paper” (Peacock)
Steve Martin, “Only Murders in the Building” (Hulu)
Jason Segel, “Shrinking” (Apple TV)
Martin Short, “Only Murders in the Building” (Hulu) ***
Alexander Skarsgård, “Murderbot” (Apple TV)
Jeremy Allen White, “The Bear” (FX)Emmy class web page with rankings>>>Coming Soon
Lead Actor (Limited/Movie)
Image Credit: Netflix Yahya Abdul-Mateen II, “Wonder Man” (Disney+)
Richard Gadd, “Half Man” (HBO Max)
Charlie Hunnam, “Monster: The Ed Gein Story”
Oscar Isaac, “Beef” (Netflix)
Paul Anthony Kelly, “Love Story” (FX) ***
Matthew Rhys, “The Beast in Me” (Netflix)Emmy class web page with rankings>>>Coming Soon
Lead Actress (Drama)
Image Credit: CBS Kathy Bates, “Matlock” (CBS)
Chase Infiniti, “The Testaments” (Hulu)
Michelle Pfeiffer, “The Madison” (Paramount+)
Keri Russell, “The Diplomat” (Netflix)
Rhea Seehorn, “Pluribus” (Apple TV)
Zendaya, “Euphoria” (HBO Max) ***Emmy class web page with rankings>>>Coming Soon
Lead Actress (Comedy)
Kristen Bell, “Nobody Wants This” (Netflix)
Quinta Brunson, “Abbott Elementary” (ABC)
Elle Fanning, “Margo’s Got Money Troubles” (Apple TV)
Kate Hudson, “Running Point” (Netflix)
Lisa Kudrow, “The Comeback” (HBO Max)
Jean Smart, “Hacks” (HBO Max) ***Emmy class web page with rankings>>>Coming Soon
Lead Actress (Limited/Movie)
Image Credit: Netflix Linda Cardellini, “DTF St. Louis” (HBO Max)
Claire Danes, “The Beast in Me” (Netflix)
Carey Mulligan, “Beef” (Netflix)
Sarah Pidgeon, “Love Story” (FX) ***
Sarah Snook, “All Her Fault” (Peacock)
Tessa Thompson, “His and Hers” (Netflix)Emmy class web page with rankings>>>Coming Soon
Supporting Actor (Drama)
Image Credit: Paramount+ Adewale Akinnuoye-Agbaje, “Euphoria” (HBO Max) ***
Jamie Campbell Bower, “Stranger Things” (Netflix)
Colman Domingo, “Euphoria” (HBO Max)
Paul Giamatti, “Star Trek: Starfleet Academy” (Paramount+)
Gerran Howell, “The Pitt” (HBO Max)
James Marsden, “Paradise” (Hulu)
Tom Pelphrey, “Task” (HBO Max)
Carlos-Manuel Vesga, “Pluribus” (Apple TV)Emmy class web page with rankings>>>Coming Soon
Supporting Actor (Comedy)
Image Credit: ABC Colman Domingo, “The Four Seasons” (Netflix)
Paul W. Downs, “Hacks” (HBO Max)
Harrison Ford, “Shrinking” (Apple TV) ***
Marcello Hernandez, “Saturday Night Live” (NBC)
Nick Offerman, “Margo’s Got Money Troubles” (Apple TV)
Andrew Scott, “The Comeback” (HBO Max)
Michael Urie, “Shrinking” (Apple TV)
Tyler James Williams, “Abbott Elementary” (ABC)Emmy class web page with rankings>>>Coming Soon
Supporting Actor (Limited/Movie)
Image Credit: Disney+ Jonathan Banks, “The Beast in Me” (Netflix)
Jamie Bell, “Half Man” (HBO Max)
Stephen Graham, “Peaky Blinders: The Immortal Man” (Netflix)
Ben Kingsley, “Wonder Man” (Disney+)
Troy Kotsur, “Black Rabbit” (Netflix)
Charles Melton, “Beef” (Netflix) ***
Alessandro Nivola, “Love Story” (FX)Emmy class web page with rankings>>>Coming Soon
Supporting Actress (Drama)
Taylor Dearden, “The Pitt” (HBO Max)
Ann Dowd, “The Testaments” (Hulu)
Sarah Goldberg, “The Audacity” (AMC)
Allison Janney, “The Diplomat” (Netflix)
Katherine LaNasa, “The Pitt” (HBO Max)
Julianne Nicholson, “Paradise” (Hulu)
Sydney Sweeney, “Euphoria” (HBO Max)
Karolina Wydra, “Pluribus” (Apple TV) ***Emmy class web page with rankings>>>Coming Soon
Supporting Actress (Comedy)
Image Credit: NBC Erika Alexander, “The Fall and Rise of Reggie Dinkins” (NBC)
Hannah Einbinder, “Hacks” (HBO Max)
Janelle James, “Abbott Elementary” (ABC) ***
Ashley Padilla, “Saturday Night Live” (NBC)
Michelle Pfeiffer, “Margo’s Got Money Troubles” (Apple TV)
Sheryl Lee Ralph, “Abbott Elementary” (ABC)
Meg Stalter, “Hacks” (HBO Max)
Jessica Williams, “Shrinking” (Apple TV)Emmy class web page with rankings>>>Coming Soon
Supporting Actress (Limited/Movie)
Image Credit: Netflix Dakota Fanning, “All Her Fault” (Peacock)
Grace Gummer, “Love Story” (FX)
Laurie Metcalf, “Monster: The Ed Gein Story” (Netflix)
Brittany Snow, “The Beast in Me” (Netflix)
Cailee Spaeny, “Beef” (Netflix)
Yuh-Jung Youn, “Beef” (Netflix)
Naomi Watts, “Love Story” (FX) ***Emmy class web page with rankings>>>Coming Soon
Variety Series
Image Credit: ABC “The Daily Show” (Comedy Central)
“Jimmy Kimmel Live!” (ABC) ***
“Last Week Tonight with John Oliver” (HBO Max)
“The Late Show with Stephen Colbert” (CBS)
“Saturday Night Live” (NBC)Emmy class web page with rankings>>>Coming Soon
Game Show
Image Credit: Dropout “Celebrity Family Feud” (Syndicated)
“Game Changer” (Dropout)
“Jeopardy” (Syndicated) ***
“The Price is Right” (Syndicated)
“Wheel of Fortune” (Syndicated)Emmy class web page with rankings>>>Coming Soon
