Will the United States strike Iran? Who will win the Super Bowl? The Oscars? The municipal elections in Paris? These uncertainties can repay large on Polymarket. With a moderately austere look, the American web site presents hundreds of questions, permitting bettors to wager on the end result of current events and acquire winnings in the event that they select accurately.
In the United States, such prediction market platforms are booming. In November 2025, the quantity of bets on Polymarket and Kalshi, the two leaders in the sector, was estimated at practically $13 billion (€10.9 billion). By early 2026, Polymarket has claimed tens of tens of millions of guests and tons of of hundreds of lively merchants.
Molly White, a researcher and engineer from Northeastern University in Boston, Massachusetts, described “a powerful trend” in the United States, “where everything becomes an excuse for gambling.” Nikos Smyrnaios, a professor of social sciences at the University of Toulouse, added that there are points raised by “risk speculation,” which he described as characterised by “a total absence of ethics.”
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