Sunday Football Tips: Barnes and Bowen backed plus a 8/1 Wembley Bet Builder

Ste is backing forwards to characteristic this Sunday

Newcastle have shipped in 24 league targets at St James Park, their highest quantity this many video games in since Eddie Howe took cost. There can be the seven targets conceded midweek in Catalonia to account for.

If this implies the Black Cats have a honest likelihood of constructing it 11 video games unbeaten on this derby let’s not get carried away and count on a flurry of possibilities to come back their approach.Sunderland have dedicated to the third fewest variety of pictures this season. Another bitty, low-scoring affair probably lies in wait.

With Bruno Guimaraes out, and Sandro Tonali a main doubt, there’s a threat of the hosts being out-manoeuvred in midfield, however no less than Howe can depend on Joelinton to place himself about, the Brazilian’s combative nature made for such a contest.

Naturally, this brings penalties, that we’re seeing extra and extra of currently. Since late January the 29-year-old has been booked each 106 minutes. He is 1/1 to be booked once more right here.

On a extra constructive be aware, a excessive shot-count from Harvey Barnes can often be relied upon. The winger has registered 3+ makes an attempt in seven of his final 10 begins.

Villa are caught in reverse whereas the Hammers are on the up. Nuno Espirito Santo’s males have misplaced solely twice of their final 9 outings, a run that features notable wins at Spurs, Burnley and Fulham.

Backing the away win at 14/5 tempts.

By stark comparability, Villa have solely gained twice of their final 10 league fixtures, a hunch that may largely be attributed to their targets drying up. No top-flight facet have scored fewer in 2026.

No crew have drawn extra fouls than Villa this season, and with Mateus Fernandes committing 5 final outing, his highest tally since becoming a member of West Ham, the midfielder is fancied to once more take a look at the referee’s endurance within the Midlands. Fernandes to commit 2 or extra fouls gives up 21/10

It’s Jarrod Bowen who most warrants consideration although, notably as he boasts a respectable file on this fixture, scoring six in 13 begins. A vital think about West Ham’s enchancment, the attacker has registered seven purpose involvements in eight.

Spurs have seemingly skilled their darkest hour, with a final minute equaliser at Anfield and a spirited victory over Atletico no less than enhancing their psychological state.

At the again although issues stay, Igor Tudor’s momentary fees going through 35 pictures in these two video games mixed. Guglielmo Vicario wanted to drag off 5 saves midweek with the intention to make their 3-2 win potential.

Forest over 1.5 targets at 7/4 due to this fact is a shout, particularly because the guests have transformed 1.9 targets per 90 on their travels in 2026.

No top-flight crew have conceded extra targets from exterior the field than Tottenham this time period and acknowledging this makes Morgan Gibbs-White a viable menace from vary. Seven of the attacking midfielder’s final 12 efforts have been from distance so backing him for 1 or extra SOT from exterior the field is a nice guess builder add at 2/1

Elsewhere, a warning or two for the hosts would hardly shock. Spurs have accrued a league-high 74 yellow playing cards in 2025/26 and Cristian Romero is an apparent contender to increase on that dishonourable tally this Sunday.

The Argentine defender was booked in each legs vs Atletico whereas 5 of his final eight bookings have come at dwelling.

Arsenal v Man City Sunday, 16:30Live on ITV

Until 2021, City have been serial winners of this competitors, lifting the League Cup six instances in eight seasons. Arsenal final gained it in 1993.That’s the previous although and of far more relevance is City’s not too long ago attained neurosis, drawing twice-over within the league and undone dwelling and away by Los Blancos.

The Gunners in the meantime are wanting imperious of their seemingly far-fetched quadruple quest. Last shedding to Manchester United in late-Jan, they’ve conceded simply 9 instances since, a purpose each 140 minutes.

Late targets are inclined to characteristic when these sides meet. Nine of the final 12 events have produced a purpose past the eightieth minute whereas 20 of the final 30 targets have been transformed within the second interval.

That places Viktor Gyokeres within the body, with 13 of his 16 targets this time period coming after the break. Five have been transformed within the last knockings.

Prior to any late drama we will encouragingly count on a good few possibilities too. The final 4 League Cup finals have produced a shot on track each six and a half minutes.

That leads us to Erling Haaland who took on a shot in every half on the Emirates in September, scoring from one. The Striking Viking could also be struggling at current however his shot-count has dramatically spiked in his final two outings, with an try each 11.2 minutes towards Real Madrid and West Ham mixed.

Lastly, Bukayo Saka must be fancied for foul involvements, with 3.56 per 90 within the Premier League this season.