Premier League predictions and best bets: Brighton to send Spurs sliding towards the unthinkable | Football News

Our soccer betting knowledgeable Jones Knows affords his perception throughout the weekend motion and ideas up a 78/1 best wager treble.

Leeds vs Wolves, Saturday 3pm – PLAY SUPER 6!

Leeds are being priced like a staff prepared to overwhelm inferior opposition at 4/7 with Sky Bet, but that feels a contact brief while you dig into what Wolves have been serving up recently. Yes, the desk seems bleak for them and the path of journey factors towards the Sky Bet Championship, however performances have not fairly matched the narrative.

Take that defeat to West Ham final day trip. A 4-0 loss screams collapse, but it was something however. Wolves had been aggressive for lengthy intervals, arguably the higher aspect for a lot of the match, and discovered themselves on the incorrect finish of a type of scorelines that merely would not mirror the stability of play.

Leeds will deliver the traditional depth, directness and physicality. It’s their identification. But Wolves aren’t a gentle contact in that division. In truth, in current weeks they’ve proven sufficient resilience and construction to recommend they will not be bullied in the manner the odds indicate. The 11/8 with Sky Bet on Wolves double probability has lots going for it.

SCORE PREDICTION: 1-1

Newcastle vs Bournemouth, Saturday 3pm

Bournemouth are unbeaten in 13 throughout all competitions in case you solely have a look at 90-minute outcomes. But this is not a squeaky clear staff to belief primarily based on their horrible underlying numbers in defence.

Across their final seven matches they’ve allowed possibilities price 14.35 anticipated objectives. They’ve conceded solely 5.

That’s an overperformance of round 9.65 objectives. You’re basically a staff giving up possibilities at a fee of over two anticipated objectives in opposition to per 90 and they’ve performed the likes of Burnley, West Ham and Sunderland in that run.

Yes, there may be loads of noise round Eddie Howe proper now at Newcastle, their type is not at their traditional ranges however this can be a staff who’ve averaged 2.1 anticipated objectives per 90 at residence throughout the final two seasons.

The relentless fixture record has helped kill their season however I’m nonetheless a giant believer in Howe being the most necessary a part of this challenge at Newcastle so I’m completely satisfied to belief them at residence when the worth is true. It is right here at 10/11 with Sky Bet.

SCORE PREDICTION: 2-1

Tottenham vs Brighton, Saturday 5.30pm, reside on Sky Sports – PLAY SUPER 6!

Tottenham are greater than doubtless to be relegated now in accordance to the market. They have gone odds-on at 17/20 with Sky Bet to face the drop. It’s very troublesome to see the place factors are going to come from.

This is a staff on their longest winless league streak in 91 years with no victories in 14 video games and one which have landed the odds simply 4 instances of their final 30 Premier League residence video games. They have had the identical quantity of managers as residence wins in that point.

Brighton are the most in-form staff in the Premier League proper now, profitable 5 of their final six and profitable to nil of their final three away video games. Don’t overcomplicate it, simply again the away win at 6/4 with Sky Bet.

SCORE PREDICTION: 0-3

Chelsea vs Manchester United, Saturday 8pm – PLAY SUPER 6!

Leny Yoro and Ayden Heaven – who’ve a mixed age of 39 – are Manchester United’s solely senior centre-backs accessible for this conflict and each can be keen to impress.

However, Joao Pedro is precisely the form of striker who can expose that eagerness. His motion is sharp, however extra importantly, he is intelligent. He initiates contact, buys fouls and places defenders in awkward physique positions. Since the begin of final season, he is drawn 19 yellow playing cards from opponents – solely six gamers in the league have gained extra.

If Yoro or Heaven dive in half a second too early or will get caught the incorrect aspect, Joao Pedro will be sure that the referee has a call to make. That may lead to playing cards being proven to the two United defenders. Yoro is 5/1 and Heaven is 3/1 with Sky Bet to decide up a card. Combining them each by means of the BuildABet perform affords up a 13/1 longshot to again.

SCORE PREDICTION: 1-1

Aston Villa vs Sunderland, Sunday 2pm, reside on Sky Sports – PLAY SUPER 6!

Regular readers will know the way exploiting the worth potential in match-ups in the fouls market is usually a little bit of a goldmine for beating the market. And the rise of the old fashioned bodily centre ahead being again in vogue has actually added a distinct dynamic to the manner we analyse foul markets now as centre backs are being fouled extra due to the aggressive nature of the big-man striker.

Brian Bobbey matches that invoice.

He performed like a person possessed in opposition to Spurs final weekend racking up eight foul involvements. And the match-up with Ezri Konsa right here seems ripe for a fouls wager. Konsa is simply too sensible to battle attackers – he’s one among the best round at promoting fouls to win battles. He’s averaging 1.5 fouls gained per residence recreation this season and I believe he is going to play Brobbey like a fiddle and win fouls off him. Konsa is 4/5 with Sky Bet to win two or extra fouls.

SCORE PREDICTION: 2-1

Everton vs Liverpool, Sunday 2pm, reside on Sky Sports – PLAY SUPER 6!

Liverpool not to rating in first halves away from residence stays a sustainable edge to exploit. The Reds have scored simply three first-half objectives of their final 17 away days as Arne Slot’s managed and safety-first type stays a tedious watch at instances. If you’ve gotten been backing this Liverpool first half clean of their away video games you’d have landed the cash on 14 of the final 17 events.

When you throw in Everton’s defensive soundness into the combine, the case grows even stronger. The Toffees have saved a primary half clear sheet in 10 of their 16 residence video games and have not conceded a primary half residence purpose of their final 4 video games. It’s 5/6 with Sky Bet to occur once more.

SCORE PREDICTION: 1-1

Nottingham Forest vs Burnley, Sunday 2pm, reside on Sky Sports

If you supplied any of the groups scrapping at the backside a free hit on who to play subsequent, Burnley at residence can be proper at the prime of the wishlist. One win of their final 23 Premier League matches tells you all the pieces you want to find out about the place this staff is true now. Competitive in spells, sure. But in the end missing the leading edge and resilience wanted to flip performances into factors.

This is precisely the kind of fixture Forest have to money in on. At residence, with the crowd behind them, it is arrange for them to take management. But do not anticipate a purpose fest.

Forest aren’t a staff that have a tendency to run away from opponents. Even in beneficial match-ups, their wins are sometimes constructed on construction, self-discipline and moments relatively than relentless attacking waves. They have scored simply two objectives of their final seven residence video games. One purpose simply could be sufficient right here with a Forest win and below 3.5 objectives at 6/5 with Sky Bet standing out.

SCORE PREDICTION: 1-0

Manchester City vs Arsenal, Sunday 4.30pm, reside on Sky Sports – PLAY SUPER 6!

A monster match. And one the place backing the wager nobody needs to again is the shrewd transfer. I’m throughout the draw right here at 13/5 with Sky Bet.

Arsenal’s issues are clear – they’ve scored simply three objectives in final 5 video games. Man City scored three objectives in 17 minutes at Chelsea final weekend.

The Gunners’ attacking course of has fully gone to pot, their frontline are in such stale type.

One of the largest components in all of that is the absence of Martin Odegaard and Bukayo Saka. The distinction in output when Odegaard and Saka each play to when at the least one among them is lacking is stark. Since the begin of final season, Arsenal’s objectives per recreation drops from 2.1 to 1.3 with out each Saka and Odegaard beginning and their anticipated objectives per recreation goes the identical manner too, nosediving from 1.9 to 1.3.

Mikel Arteta would snap your hand off for a draw proper now.

Arsenal have to play to their strengths and that’s their world-class defensive unit with out the ball. Do what you are good at. Arsenal ought to be attempting to shut this recreation down, make it arduous for City to rating and win set-pieces.

They will come for the draw and at the costs, I’m completely satisfied to again them to get it.

SCORE PREDICTION: 1-1 | JONES KNOWS’ BEST BET: Back the draw (13/5 with Sky Bet)

Sunday nineteenth April 4:00pm


Kick off 4:30pm

Crystal Palace vs West Ham, Monday 8pm, reside on Sky Sports

Sometimes bets are much less about the participant you are backing and extra about the downside standing in entrance of him.

That’s very a lot the case right here with Chris Richards. If he begins for Crystal Palace, there is a sturdy probability he’ll discover himself matched up in opposition to Crysencio Summerville – and that is not a duel defenders have a tendency to take pleasure in for 90 minutes.

The West Ham winger has been a magnet for fouls all season, drawing extra yellow playing cards from opponents than anybody else in the Premier League (14). That tells you precisely what sort of night Richards could possibly be in for.

He’s been carded in two of his final three Premier League appearances, which hints at a participant already strolling that high quality line between aggressive and mistimed. Add in the stress of coping with one among the league’s trickiest broad gamers, and you’ve got bought the excellent setup for one more card which is a 9/2 probability with Sky Bet.

SCORE PREDICTION: 1-2

Jones Knows best wager:

1pt treble on Ayden Heaven to be carded, Man City to draw with Arsenal & Chris Richards to be carded (78/1 with Sky Bet)