Football betting ideas: Non-league and EFL
League Two – Shrewsbury vs Cheltenham
1pt Isaac Hutchinson to attain anytime at 4/1 (bet365)
0.25pt Isaac Hutchinson to attain 2+ objectives at 40/1 (bet365)
National League – Aldershot vs York
2pts York to win and Over 1.5 objectives at 10/11 (bet365)
National League – Halifax vs Boreham Wood
1.5pts BTTS and Over 2.5 Goals at 10/11 (bet365)
National League North – Curzon Ashton vs Macclesfield
1.5pts Macclesfield to win and Both Teams To Score at 13/5 (bet365, William Hill)
National League South – Potters Bar vs Welling
1.5pts Over 2.5 Goals at 3/4 (General)
Multiples
1.5pts Over 2.5 Goals in Hashtag vs Brentwood, Spalding vs Halesowen & Walton & Hersham vs Farnham at 13/5 (bet365)
*All kick off 15:00
I’m again once more – fortunate you. I don’t know if it’s the distraction of Cheltenham races, the fixed boring soccer on show throughout the nation or I’m drained and need the season to finish, however I actually struggled with this week’s article.
The slate seems to be boring compared to midweek however a couple of bets do stand out. Without additional ado..
Shrewsbury vs Cheltenham
If it isn’t damaged, don’t repair it. I tipped up Isaac Hutchinson to score within the final article and he duly obliged, scoring a late penalty to salvage a degree for his facet. This made it six objectives in seven begins since returning to the Robins on mortgage in January. The 25-year-old is averaging 0.48 objectives, 3.30 photographs and 1.07 photographs on track per 90 in League Two this marketing campaign.
Shrewsbury have seen an upturn below Gavin Cowan, profitable six from 9, however defensive frailties stay. They’ve saved simply three clear sheets of their final 11, with their opponents in these shutouts combining for 3.36 xG, and goalkeeper Matthew Cox sweeping the person of the match award in all three.
At the 4/1 quoted with bet365, HUTCHINSON seems to be too massive as soon as once more TO SCORE ANYTIME. We’ll even have a nibble on THE BRACE.
Aldershot vs York
YORK stood out when wanting on the slate and, after a dialog with Jake about this guess, it turned a no brainer.
The Minstermen are concerned in probably the most engrossing title races the National League has ever seen, going blow for blow with Rochdale on a weekly foundation. Dale seem to have the higher hand, sitting two factors clear on 88 with a sport in hand, however York are a pressure to be reckoned with. If all goes to plan, the pair will struggle it out on the ultimate day at Spotland to safe promotion to League Two.
Stuart Maynard’s facet have been ridiculous. They’ve scored 97 objectives in 37 video games and gathered 86 factors, but it nonetheless may not be sufficient to win the league. York have received 10 of their final 11, scoring 2+ in each sport bar the 1-0 win at Morecambe, a match by which they gathered over 3.0 xG and missed a penalty. The solely defeat on this run got here away at a robust Boreham Wood facet (3-2) – a sport by which Josh Stones was despatched off on the hour mark with the rating at 1-1.
A seven-game unbeaten run that noticed Aldershot win six matches moved them 9 factors away from relegation. However, they’ve since misplaced three on the bounce, falling to promotion-chasing sides Rochdale (0-2), Forest Green (2-1) and Carlisle (0-2).
John Coleman’s facet have struggled towards the larger groups, shedding 5-1 at York in November, whereas Rochdale, Forest Green and Carlisle have all finished the double over them. With not a lot to play for between now and the top of the season, full focus might already be on subsequent week’s conflict with bitter rivals Woking, so backing YORK WIN AND OVER 1.5 GOALS appeals.
Halifax vs Boreham Wood
I tipped two Boreham Wood angles in midweek and issues had been wanting good after Matt Rush scored 21 minutes into the sport. Marley Marshall then inexplicably received despatched off 9 minutes later, placing each bets in jeopardy.
However, objectives within the 56th and 81st minutes for the hosts noticed the BTTS and overs land earlier than Rush secured his brace within the 96th minute to win us each bets. I received’t bore you with the spiel from the final article about Boreham Wood’s change in fashion and attacking prowess, however it’s actually reaping its rewards.
Only York have scored greater than Boreham Wood’s 75, with their video games averaging 3.35 objectives. No facet has seen over 2.5 objectives click on extra typically than Boreham Wood on the street (14/18), so objectives are normally a given.
They face a Halifax facet who leapfrogged Southend into the ultimate playoff spot with a gritty 1-0 win at Hartlepool – a sport by which the hosts gathered 1.98 xG. However, with Southend only one level behind and holding three video games in hand, the Shaymen have to put a run collectively if they’re to fend off Kevin Maher’s facet.
With 56 objectives scored and 53 conceded, Halifax video games are averaging simply shy of three objectives, with 12/18 (67%) at house seeing over 2.5 objectives. BOTH TEAMS TO SCORE AND OVER 2.5 GOALS is the way in which in right here.
Curzon Ashton vs Macclesfield
Now of their eleventh straight season within the National League North, Curzon Ashton have made regular progress, ending seventh and eighth within the final two campaigns. In the summer time, Craig Mahon was poached by AFC Fylde and Mark Bradshaw has steadied the ship in what has been a transition season.
The Nash sit fifteenth, ten factors off the playoffs and 11 away from relegation, to allow them to begin making ready for a twelfth season at Step Two of non-league – maybe with a bit extra freedom. Their video games have averaged 3.4 objectives and solely Peterborough Sports have conceded greater than them.
At Tameside Stadium, Curzon have scored 28 and conceded 35, with 15 of their 19 house video games seeing at the least three objectives.
MACCLESFIELD have seen each groups rating in 12 of their 15 away video games – the very best complete within the league – solely failing to attain at Spennymoor in August and Chester in December. The Silkmen have additionally seen over 2.5 objectives land of their final 13 league video games, scoring 36 objectives, conceding 21 and profitable 9 matches within the course of. Of these 9 wins, seven noticed BTTS, with solely King’s Lynn and Oxford City failing to attain, so an AWAY WIN AND BTTS is value a swing.
Potters Bar vs Welling
This is the definition of a six-pointer. Potters Bar sit second from backside, six factors from security, one place and two factors behind Saturday’s guests. Both groups can be determined for three factors, so count on an end-to-end thriller (of types).
Potters Bar have the worst defensive document within the league, conceding 72 in 33, whereas Welling have shipped 64 in the identical variety of video games. Both additionally common greater than a objective per sport, so motion at each ends is predicted.
The hosts have seen OVER 2.5 GOALS in 10 of their final 12 and 25 of their 33 video games total – the very best complete within the league – in addition to 13 of 17 at house.
No facet has seen extra video games go over 2.5 on the street than Welling (15/17). With a lot turnover within the squad, The Wings’ video games usually descend into chaos.
Over 2.5 Goals treble
- Hashtag vs Brentwood – Isthmian League Premier
- Walton & Hersham vs Farnham – Southern League Premier South
- Spalding vs Halesowen – Southern League Premier Central
I all the time have a tendency to choose three or so video games that stand out for objectives and treble them, so this week we have now a guess from three of the 4 divisions at Step 3.
Hashtag come into this in dire kind, having misplaced six of their final seven league video games. That run has dragged them to only one level away from the drop, making this very a lot a must-win fixture. Unsurprisingly, chaos has adopted, with six of these seven defeats additionally seeing over 2.5 objectives.
Goals have been a continuing at Len Salmon Stadium all season. A league-high 14 of Hashtag’s 17 house video games have gone over 2.5 objectives, averaging a hefty 3.8 objectives per sport. Defensive fragility, mixed with the necessity to chase factors, means their matches are hardly ever boring.
Brentwood’s away numbers solely add gasoline to the hearth. Their street video games are averaging 3.94 objectives, with 13 of 17 seeing over 2.5 objectives. Keith Rowland’s facet look effectively positioned for a playoff push, however with a rampant Dartford and Burgess Hill respiratory down their necks, they’ll need to financial institution a couple of extra wins to really feel comfy.
That urgency is heightened by what’s to come back, with their subsequent three fixtures towards Folkestone (1st), Chatham (4th) and an away journey to Burgess Hill (seventh). All indicators level in the direction of one other open, high-scoring affair.
Walton & Hersham vs Farnham is the sport of the weekend. The Swans have largely coasted on the high of the league and 4 straight wins – scoring 16 objectives and conceding simply 4 -have given them a bit extra respiratory room.
Farnham arrive in horrifying kind, having received seven on the bounce, scoring 22 objectives and conceding seven within the course of. If the guests had been to win right here, they’d transfer to inside 9 factors of the summit with two video games in hand, firmly making use of stress on the high.
Walton & Hersham’s video games are averaging 3.38 objectives, whereas Farnham’s fixtures common a good larger 3.83. The guests have seen over 2.5 objectives in 11 of their 14 away video games, and with the league’s high two scorers going head-to-head, this has all of the makings of a frantic, end-to-end contest.
Spalding and Harborough have additionally been in a dramatic title struggle, and with The Bees now two factors clear with two video games in hand, Spalding realistically have to win the remaining video games to face at probability.
At house, their video games are averaging 3.7 objectives, with over 2.5 objectives touchdown in a league excessive 15/17 at house and 27/34 in complete. With 87 objectives scored in 34, Jimmy Deans are by far the very best scorers within the league.
Halesowen are only one level off the playoffs however have Needham Market, Banbury and Worcester respiratory down their necks, so the stress is on. The Yeltz’ video games are averaging 3.5 objectives, with 22/33 league video games seeing 3+ objectives, together with the 2-2 draw within the reverse.
Odds appropriate at 16:00 GMT (12/3/26)
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