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Ige vs. Costa odds, picks and predictions

Feb. 21, 2026, 12:55 p.m. ET

In a 3-round featherweight bout on the primary card, Dan Ige and Melquizael Costa meet Saturday at UFC Fight Night 267 — also called UFC Houston — at Toyota Center in Houston, Texas. The prelims start at 5 p.m. ET, and the primary card begins at 8 p.m. ET, all on Paramount+. Let’s analyze BetMGM Sportsbook’s UFC odds across the UFC Fight Night 267: Ige vs. Costa odds, and make our expert UFC picks and predictions.

Records: Ige (19-10-0) | Costa (25-7-0)

The veteran Ige suffered a unanimous-decision loss to Patricio Pitbull final day trip at UFC 318 final July. He has misplaced 3 of his previous 4 bouts, with every loss coming through unanimous choice. His lone win through the span was a Round 3 KO/TKO victory at UFC 314 in opposition to Sean Woodson final April. In reality, Ige is 4-4 in his previous 8 fights, with 3 of the victories coming by the use of knockout.

Costa picked up a Round 1 KO/TKO victory over Morgan Charriere final day trip in a combat evening in mid-December. He has rattled off 5 straight wins, with 2 going the gap, and additionally has 2 submission wins over veteran Andre Fili and Shayilan Nuerdanbieke in that span.

The attain is dead-even at 71 inches for each fighters whereas the southpaw Costa holds a 4.42-to-3.62 benefit in important strikes landed per minute. He can be far more correct on these strikes, touchdown 59.66%, whereas Ige has managed a 49.56% mark on these strikes. Costa additionally leads with a 1.93-to-0.89 takedown common, whereas he has a 38.46% accuracy mark on takedowns, to simply 25.81% for Ige. And, Costa additionally has a 1.16-to-0.22 submission common benefit, too.

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UFC Fight Night 267: Ige vs. Costa odds

Provided by BetMGM Sportsbook; entry USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full record. Lines final up to date Saturday at 12:45 p.m. ET.

  • Fight outcome (2-way line): Ige +185 (wager $100 to win $185) | Costa -225 (wager $225 to win $100)
  • Will the combat go the gap? (Yes -250 | No +175)

UFC Fight Night 267: Ige vs. Costa picks and predictions

Costa (-220) will value you greater than 2 instances your potential return, and that is means an excessive amount of danger for a straight up wager. However, in case you have been to fold the Brazilian fighter right into a multi-leg parlay, that will be completely positive.

While Ige is a veteran who has huge expertise, Costa leads in nearly each metric. Costa has proven he can win in quite a lot of methods, as nicely, both wowing the judges on factors, successful through KO/TKO or getting it down within the wrestling recreation.

Let’s search for COSTA BY KO/TKO, DQ OR SUBMISSION (+600) for the prospect to multiply up by 6 instances. That’s too good of a worth to cross on.

NO (+175): FIGHT TO GO THE DISTANCE can be a really good play at plus cash, until you strongly really feel that is going to go the total 3 rounds. I like Costa to get the end, both in Round 2 or Round 3. As such, COSTA IN ROUND 1 (+1200) or COSTA IN ROUND 2 (+1600) is price a roll of the cube. You might even take an opportunity on Costa in Round 3 (+2200), however I’m avoiding that half. Sure, even when he will get the end, you will lose the opposite ends, however you’d nonetheless be nicely forward, too.

Visit MMA Junkie for extra combat information and evaluation.

For extra sports activities betting picks and suggestions, take a look at SportsbookWire.com and BetFTW.

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Our staff of savvy editors independently handpicks all suggestions. If you buy by our hyperlinks, the USA TODAY Network could earn a fee. Prices have been correct on the time of publication however could change.

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