Our soccer betting skilled Jones Knows affords his perception throughout the weekend Premier League card, tipping up a 12/1 treble.
Burnley vs Bournemouth, Saturday 3pm – PLAY SUPER 6 HERE!
The combat has gone out of Burnley. And has been absent for a while.
Scott Parker’s side appear to be they’re simply ready for the inevitable drop, with only one win of their final 20 league video games. Performances have not been horrible each week, however there is a fragility and lack of perception that is laborious to shake as soon as it units in. Turf Moor used to be a spot the place groups knew they have been in for a scrap, now it appears like opponents arrive anticipating possibilities.
One participant I’m eager to concentrate on is Alex Scott.
Scott’s affect within the ultimate third is clearly rising underneath Andoni Iraola. The former Bristol City man is being inspired to drive ahead and help the assault quite than merely hyperlink play in midfield. That shift in duty is exhibiting up within the numbers.
Scott has had two or extra pictures in seven of his final eight begins, frequently arriving late across the edge of the field or popping up in pockets the place Burnley have been weak all season. You can get 6/4 with Sky Bet on Scott posting two pictures and a Bournemouth win.
SCORE PREDICTION: 0-3
Sunderland vs Brighton, Saturday 3pm – PLAY SUPER 6 HERE!
There are just a few fascinating card angles on this recreation, particularly while you begin digging into the person match-ups. Brighton need these one-v-one conditions the place their attackers can flip, drive and power defenders into uncomfortable selections.
That’s why Georginio Rutter is such a clumsy opponent.
Rutter’s model is predicated on sharp turns, fast ft and fixed dribbling at defenders. He invitations contact. The information round him drawing bookings may be very robust. He’s drawn eight yellow playing cards in simply 1,600 minutes this season, which is a wonderful price, and for the reason that begin of final marketing campaign he has compelled 17 opposition yellows.
Players merely battle to cease him legally as soon as he will get operating at them.
Noah Sadiki turns into fascinating at the costs. Sadiki has been booked 4 occasions in his final 9 begins, which already suggests he is enjoying on the sting when requested to deal with tough attackers. He is 100/30 to be carded right here with Sky Bet.
SCORE PREDICTION: 1-1
Arsenal vs Everton, Saturday 5.30pm, dwell on Sky Sports – PLAY SUPER 6 HERE!
Pressure does humorous issues at this stage of a title race, however Arsenal have typically dealt with it properly when dealing with groups who come to defend deep.
That’s the state of affairs doubtless to unfold right here.
You know precisely what you are getting from a David Moyes crew away to the elite sides. Structure, self-discipline and a refusal to open the sport up. It’s a method designed to maintain matches aggressive for so long as attainable. But the difficulty for Moyes is that the leads to these particular fixtures have been brutal.
His report away from house in opposition to Arsenal, Liverpool and Manchester City is outstanding for all of the incorrect causes: 20 defeats within the final 21 matches.
Arsenal to win and underneath 3.5 objectives at 10/11 with Sky Bet is a means to get the house win to a backable worth.
SCORE PREDICTION: 2-0
Chelsea vs Newcastle, Saturday 5.30pm, dwell on Sky Sports – PLAY SUPER 6 HERE!
The market is beginning to take Chelsea very significantly underneath Liam Rosenior and when the numbers and betting strikes align, it is normally price paying consideration.
Despite Chelsea finally dropping 5-2, there have been notable strikes from good cash backing Chelsea earlier than kick-off in opposition to PSG. That type of help tends to come from bettors who belief the underlying course of quite than the occasional chaotic consequence.
And the method proper now seems to be very wholesome.
Across Rosenior’s first eight Premier League matches, Chelsea truly lead the division for anticipated objectives created, posting 2.4 xG per 90 minutes. Even extra spectacular is their xG supremacy (xG for – xG in opposition to) which sits at +1.2 per recreation.
Those are numbers normally produced by groups combating for the title quite than these nonetheless attempting to discover their identification underneath a brand new coach. What’s clear already is that Rosenior has shortly applied a proactive system that generates possibilities.
That’s why this may very well be a troublesome afternoon for Newcastle United, who could have a lot of their focus and consideration on Barcelona in midweek. Chelsea to win by two or extra objectives at 2/1 with Sky Bet has an opportunity.
SCORE PREDICTION: 3-1 | JONES KNOWS’ BEST BET: Chelsea -1 handicap (2/1 with Sky Bet)
West Ham vs Manchester City, Saturday 8pm
Man City’s 3-0 loss to Real Madrid highlighted their struggles to create clear-cut possibilities in opposition to a side completely happy to sit deep. And it isn’t a one-off. In their final 18 away video games, City have solely gained by two or extra objectives as soon as – and even then, it got here in opposition to Crystal Palace, the place they really misplaced the xG battle.
That tells you this vulnerability is actual when City are tasked with unlocking a low block.
West Ham are not any atypical opponent both. Under their present setup, they’re exhibiting robust underlying numbers that recommend they need to be pushing for European qualification quite than combating relegation. They’ve seemed revitalised in latest weeks. Their construction underneath Nuno Espirito Santo and capability to exploit transitions make them a difficult proposition for groups that depend on possession dominance.
They can keep away from defeat right here on the double likelihood with 6/5 on provide with Sky Bet.
SCORE PREDICTION: 2-1 | JONES KNOWS’ BET BET: West Ham double likelihood (6/5 with Sky Bet)
Crystal Palace vs Leeds, Sunday 2pm, dwell on Sky Sports
When you discuss Crystal Palace, one title instantly jumps off the web page when it comes to a possible goalscorer – Ismaila Sarr. He’s Palace’s important man, a continuing menace in behind, and remarkably composed when he finds himself in entrance of aim.
Sarr has been in tremendous kind not too long ago, scoring 5 occasions in his final 9 appearances, together with a brace within the spectacular win at Tottenham. His tempo and motion make him very tough to defend one-on-one, and he is not often flustered when he will get a clear sight of aim.
What makes the 13/5 Sky Bet worth for him to rating look significantly interesting is one thing that does not get absolutely factored in – he is Palace’s penalty taker. That’s an enormous edge, particularly while you look at the referee for this one.
Thomas Bramall has a really beneficiant report in awarding penalties, handing out seven in his final 15 video games, together with one within the reverse fixture between these sides (which Leeds gained 4-1). That provides one other route to the web for Sarr past his normal attacking instincts.
SCORE PREDICTION: 2-1
Manchester United vs Aston Villa, Sunday 2pm, dwell on Sky Sports – PLAY SUPER 6 HERE!
The clear sheet angle for Manchester United seems to be very interesting.
Michael Carrick is aware of precisely what he is dealing with in Morgan Rogers – he signed him at Middlesbrough and could have a clear plan to nullify his menace. And proper now, that is the important thing to stopping Aston Villa.
Villa’s assault has been toothless of late. They’ve managed simply 5 objectives of their final seven Premier League video games and there is a sense their attacking concepts have gone stale. With Carrick’s crew doubtless to dominate possession and implement a disciplined defensive construction, Villa will battle to discover openings.
Stop Rogers, frustrate the opposite Villa attackers and you’ve got obtained a state of affairs that closely favours a Manchester United win to nil at 9/4 with Sky Bet. It’s a means to again United’s strengths in opposition to an out-of-form side that has lacked creativity within the ultimate third.
SCORE PREDICTION: 2-0
Nottingham Forest vs Fulham, Sunday 2pm, dwell on Sky Sports
Under Sean Dyche, Elliot Anderson usually seemed restricted, his creativity curtailed by a inflexible system. His growth was stagnating. But Vitor Pereira has handed him the liberty to specific himself from midfield, and it is paying off. The younger midfielder is taking pictures, making late runs into the field and typically being much more influential in assault.
The numbers underline that shift. Anderson has had eight pictures in his final three Premier League appearances, and that features a good end in opposition to Manchester City, exhibiting he is succesful of producing high quality when given the license to roam.
Anderson to rating at 4/1 with Sky Bet seems to be very engaging.
SCORE PREDICTION: 2-1
Liverpool vs Tottenham, Sunday 4.30pm, dwell on Sky Sports – PLAY SUPER 6 HERE!
When a crew finds itself underneath stress, there is a predictable knock-on impact of rash selections, mistimed tackles, and that yields playing cards. That’s precisely the place Tottenham discover themselves proper now.
Spurs are main the Premier League for yellow playing cards this season, with 74 to this point – that is 2.62 per recreation. And in the event you look at pink playing cards, solely Chelsea have been dismissed extra usually than Tottenham, who’ve already racked up 4 reds.
The pattern is crystal clear. Tottenham have been proven two or extra playing cards in every of their final eight video games throughout all competitions, together with a spectacular five-card haul in opposition to Atletico Madrid on Wednesday. That sort of disciplinary report completely highlights the sort of points plaguing this crew and the stress is not going away after they go to a high-intensity opponent like Liverpool.
All this factors to Tottenham to be proven over 2.5 playing cards at 6/4 with Sky Bet ranking as a cracking wager.
SCORE PREDICTION: 3-2 | JONES KNOWS’ BEST BET: Tottenham to be proven over 2.5 playing cards (6/4 with Sky Bet)
Brentford vs Wolves, Monday 8pm, dwell on Sky Sports
The midfield battle might get spicy.
Brentford have a tendency to depend on so much of bodily work within the center of the pitch to disrupt opponents and one participant who frequently finds himself strolling that disciplinary tightrope is Yehor Yarmoliuk. Brentford’s midfield enforcer has been carded in 5 of his final 9 begins, which tells you he isn’t afraid to put his foot in when video games get scrappy.
Wolves have an actual handful in extensive and central areas with Mateus Mane, whose direct dribbling model continually forces defenders and midfielders into making last-ditch challenges. The teen is great at drawing fouls in harmful areas. Mané has drawn eight opposition yellow playing cards this season in simply 1,200 minutes, which works out at a card each 120 minutes from gamers attempting to cease him. Yarmoliuk may very well be within the firing line and is 7/2 with Sky Bet to be carded.
