The Denver Broncos opened the 2025 season with 12-1 odds to win the AFC and at +275 to win the AFC West. Those odds lengthened to 18-1 and +600, respectively, in late September after the Broncos opened the season 1-2.
But the Chiefs began spiraling, Denver swept Kansas City and ended up dropping only one extra sport the remainder of the method, tying the Patriots and Broncos for the finest file in the NFL.
Interestingly, the Broncos solely coated seven of 17 video games final season, the worst mark out of the 12 groups with double-digit wins. Denver has cleared its win complete by 4.5 video games in consecutive seasons and is poised for one more successful season, though a aggressive division race doubtless means some regression is coming. — Kevin Pulsifer
Note: Odds by DK Sports
and topic to change.
2026 outlook: Tough division, robust path to 10 wins
After seven straight dropping seasons from 2017-2023, the Broncos have put collectively back-to-back 10-plus win seasons below the tutelage of Sean Payton. Coming off a 14-win season, their over/below on their 2026 complete is available in at simply 9.5. They landed WR Jaylen Waddle in the offseason, however they added little or no premier expertise by way of the draft after not having a first- or second-round choice (their first decide was 66th general, in the third spherical).
One of the greater query marks surrounding the Broncos is who they’re up in opposition to of their division. If a recovering Patrick Mahomes and the Chiefs wrestle to discover their footing early in the season or the Justin Herbert-led Chargers stumble out of the gate, the Broncos might be in prime place to take command of the AFC West. However, this roster is not actually stuffed with top-end expertise. And whereas the protection has its share of high quality gamers, the offensive facet of the ball has query marks round the maturation of Bo Nix and what this receiving corps could be following the latest investments in Waddle and Courtland Sutton. The 9.5 quantity does not depart a lot margin for error, so whereas there’s an expectation for Denver to make the playoffs, there is not any assure we do not see regression in 2026, making this a tricky line to really feel snug with. — Daniel Dopp
Best guess: Bo Nix over 24.5 passing TDs (-105)
Nix topped this quantity in each his rookie and sophomore seasons, so his line being set at 24.5 scores appears low. The further pass-catching assist with Waddle in the combine ought to solely bolster his possibilities of hitting this quantity. With one other yr in Payton’s system below his belt and extra weapons at his disposal, and given the upside of the 26-year-old signal-caller, I’m going with the over. — Dopp
