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The UFC Houston Prelims proceed from the Toyota Center as we convey you a betting prediction and pick for this subsequent bout within the Flyweight (125) Division. Jamaica’s Ode Osbourne takes on Alibi Idiris of Kazakhstan as each fighters hope to rebound following a loss. Check our UFC odds series for the Osbourne-Idiris prediction and pick.
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Ode Osbourne (13-9) has gone 5-7 since becoming a member of the UFC roster in 2020. Following a powerful begin to his tenure, Osbourne has been on a downswing with a 1-4 report over his final 5 fights. He’s trying to redeem one other loss as he tries to salvage his present report. Osbourne stands 5-foot-7 with a 73-inch attain.
Alibi Idiris (10-1) is looking out for his first UFC win following a loss to Joseph Morales throughout his UFC debut. Up to that time, Idiris had received all ten of his bouts beneath NAIZA whereas going 2-0 throughout The Ultimate Fighter, so this serves as a giant spot to show himself as soon as once more. Idiris stands 5-foot-6 with a 68-inch attain.
UFC Houston Odds, courtesy of DraftKings.
UFC Houston Odds: Ode Osbourne-Alibi Idiris Odds
Ode Osbourne: +110
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Alibi Idiris: -130
Over 1.5 rounds: -210
Under 1.5 rounds: +160
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Why Ode Osbourne Will Win
Last Fight: (L) Steve Erceg – U DEC
Finishes: 5 KO/TKO, 5 SUB
Ode Osbourne took a large step up in competitors throughout his final bout in dealing with a former title challenger in Steve Erceg. Despite clearly dropping every of the three rounds, Osbourne managed to keep away from the end and had his personal moments of success all through the battle. He’s way more skilled and has confronted a a lot greater stage of competitors reverse his opponent on this one, so count on Osbourne to hold some confidence heading into this battle regardless of his latest skid.
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Osbourne is extraordinarily explosive with all of his actions and may end the battle from anyplace if he finds a gap. His wild type has gotten him knocked out and submitted up to now, however Osbourne is all the time assured to place each ounce of his effort into every battle. If he’s capable of shift the momentum at any level with a giant shot, don’t be stunned if he’s capable of end the battle shortly.
While having velocity and athleticism on his aspect, Osbourne will all the time have the benefit of unpredictability as his opponent has been identified for a gradual wrestling type. Four of his opponents’ wins have come by means of choice, so Osbourne would drastically profit from pushing a tempo and forcing his opponent to complete the battle inside the space.
Why Alibi Idiris Will Win
Last Fight: (L) Joseph Morales – SUB (triangle choke, R2)
Finishes: 4 KO/TKO, 1 SUB
Alibi Idiris got here into the Ultimate Fighter finale as a -500 betting favourite because of his spotless report as much as that time. While Idiris was sport to change with Joseph Morales, he clearly wasn’t anticipating such efficient resistance on the ft from his opponent. On the bottom, Morales proved way more opportunistic in securing the submission victory whereas Idiris seemed shocked and misplaced in the course of the loss.
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This time round, Idiris received’t be capable of underestimate any UFC competitors, even when Osbourne has misplaced 4 of his final 5 fights. The hole in octagon time is important and though Idiris has all of the instruments to be dominant throughout this battle, he received’t be capable of fold beneath the strain and lights of the second.
Idiris can dominate throughout this explicit matchup if he’s capable of climate the early storm of Osbourne’s putting and return along with his chain wrestling. Osbourne notably has 4 losses by submission, probably the most of any technique in his profession, so Idiris can discover the higher hand if he’s capable of drive dominant place on the bottom.
Final Ode Osbourne-Alibi Idiris Prediction & Pick
This must be an thrilling battle if Ode Osbourne is ready to lead the dance and management the tempo, however Alibi Idiris will probably be way more excited about grabbing a maintain of Osbourne and conserving him on the mat. Osbourne’s 66% takedown protection will probably be a recurring storyline all through this battle as Idiris must be trying to notch the takedowns after realizing he’s out-matched on the ft.
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I count on Ode Osbourne’s expertise to be an enormous think about conserving his power and conserving his putting output constant all through this one. If he’s capable of successfully stuff the takedowns and never take too many dangers in leaving himself open to be countered, he ought to have sufficient variability in his putting arsenal to catch Idiris off-guard in some unspecified time in the future.
For our remaining pick, we’ll roll with the extra skilled Osbourne as this battle ought to see the later rounds given what a win would imply for both aspect.
Final Ode Osbourne-Alibi Idiris Prediction & Pick: Ode Osbourne (+110); OVER 1.5 Rounds (-210)
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