The 2026 Miami Open is in full swing at Hard Rock Stadium, and Monday, March 23 brings one other loaded slate of ATP and WTA motion from South Florida. We’ve damaged down the day’s finest tennis betting picks for Miami, digging into matchup ways, courtroom situations, and present kind to search out the sharpest edges on the board. Whether you’re betting the moneyline, recreation unfold, set unfold, or complete, our 2026 Miami Open finest bets are constructed that will help you revenue. I’m dropping a few of my favourite performs under, however be sure you additionally monitor the picks page all through the day. I usually have a couple of extra picks over there, plus I often add performs primarily based on how traces are shifting. That’s additionally the place Gill Alexander posts his finest bets.
Frances Tiafoe vs. Jakub Mensik
Tiafoe tends to play his finest tennis in American hard-court occasions, however that often comes within the run as much as the US Open. He really hasn’t been past the quarterfinals in South Beach, and he has been bounced earlier than that stage in 5 straight Miami Opens. Meanwhile, Mensik is the defending champion right here, having made a dream run in 2025 — and one which ended with a win over Novak Djokovic. Well, with these two having very totally different histories right here, it’s onerous to not instantly see worth in Mensik as a small favourite.
Mensik’s recreation is simply harmful in these situations. He’s the most effective servers on the planet, in order that goes a good distance in these sooner situations. He’s additionally lengthy sufficient to get a superb quantity of returns in play, and his constant baseline fashion interprets to all surfaces.
Mensik additionally owns an enormous win over Tiafoe already, beating him 6-1, 6-4 in a lopsided match in Davis Cup qualifying final yr. That match additionally occurred to happen in Florida, and it was a really pro-Tiafoe setting. The American could have the group right here, but it surely gained’t be something like that was.
Bet: Mensik ML (-152)
Sorana Cirstea vs. Coco Gauff
Gauff’s double-fault proportion was a minimum of 10.3% within the seven matches she performed earlier than taking over Alycia Parks on Saturday. The world No. 4 was capable of get it all the way down to 9.0% in opposition to Parks, and the second and third units have been a lot, a lot better for her. After dropping the opener, she ended up pulling out a 3-6, 6-0, 6-1 win. However, Gauff has actually struggled to beat strong gamers just lately. In her final 10 matches, she has two losses to Elina Svitolina, a loss to Elisabetta Cocciaretto, a lopsided loss to Alexandra Eala, and a number of hard-fought wins in matches that wouldn’t usually be shut. That stated, her kind is a little bit of a multitude, making Cirstea an fascinating play on Monday.
Cirstea is retiring on the finish of this season, however she’s taking part in the most effective tennis of her profession. She’s 15-4 for the reason that begin of 2026, which is sweet for a career-high profitable proportion of 78.9%. Cirstea can also be on hearth at this event, beating Shuai Zhang, Linda Noskova, and Elise Mertens on her approach to this match within the Round of 16.
Cirstea is an enormous ball-striker, performs fearless tennis from the baseline, and she’s actually capable of management factors along with her energy. Well, if she’s capable of flip in an honest day as a server, there’s no purpose she will be able to’t maintain this match tight. Also, if she’s capable of play plenty of balls to the Gauff forehand, that’ll additionally assist her probabilities.
Bet: Cirstea +1.5 Sets (-151 – 1.5 models) & Cirstea ML (+175 – 0.5 models)
