The US Open first spherical wraps up on Tuesday. Americans Madison Keys and Taylor Fritz will each be in motion in the course of the day session, whereas Gael Monfils takes the courtroom within the night for what will probably be his closing US Open.
Below, we’ll break down our high tennis predictions for Tuesday’s US Open matches, together with winner payouts, key stats, and match predictions for PrizePicks.
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US Open Predictions, Picks Today – Tuesday, September 1
Before we get into our tennis predictions for Tuesday, right here’s a fast take a look at the matches we’re specializing in and the consensus favorites on PrizePicks Team Picks — the place you’ll be able to choose winners on every match.
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On PrizePicks Team Picks, a 2x payout represents a return of $200 on a $100 entry (or $20 on $10). A decrease payout multiplier indicators a better implied chance of that outcome based mostly on person picks.
Payouts are dwell on the time of writing and are topic to vary. Tennis winner markets are available in 36 states.
Madison Keys vs. Alina Korneeva US Open Prediction – Tuesday, September 1
Match Winner Payouts: Keys 1.31x | Korneeva 3.22x
Tournament Round: First Round
2026 Record Entering the US Open: Keys 33-14 | Korneeva 37-14
Head-to-Head Record: First Career Meeting
Scheduled Time: 11:30 a.m. ET
How to Watch: ESPN
Madison Keys is within the midst of a stable season, reaching the spherical of 16 on the different three majors whereas additionally profitable a WTA 250 title in Eastbourne. However, she’s drifted outdoors the highest 20 due partially to shedding factors at each the Australian Open and French Open.
Keys started the North American hard-court swing with early losses in each Washington and Toronto, however she considerably righted the ship in Cincinnati, advancing to the quarterfinals earlier than falling to a red-hot Sara Bejlek in three units. Bejlek additionally knocked off Aryna Sabalenka on her run to the semifinals.
Meanwhile, Alina Korneeva opened 2026 ranked outdoors the highest 200, however she’s labored her approach into the highest 70 forward of the US Open. This summer season, she reached the semifinals in Athens and the spherical of 16 in Toronto. Those runs included notable wins over Ann Li, Emma Navarro, and Iva Jovic, all gamers presently ranked within the high 30.
Given Korneeva’s latest type, she might give Keys a troublesome first-round take a look at. That being mentioned, the 19-year-old Russian is brief on Grand Slam expertise — this will probably be simply her fourth look in a significant foremost draw — and he or she’s dealing with somebody who gained the Australian Open simply final yr.
Per Tennis Abstract’s Elo scores, Keys stays the superior hard-court participant and is exhibiting a 64.0% likelihood of defeating Korneeva.
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Madison Keys vs. Alina Korneeva Pick for the US Open on Tuesday
At Keys’ final match, her matches totaled 28, 16, 23, and 32 video games.
Korneeva has held her personal vs. top-50 gamers on arduous courts this season, profitable 4 of six matches. All of these matches have come on North American arduous courts this summer season, too.
In tour-level matches on arduous courts this yr, Keys has held a transparent edge on serve, profitable 60.4% of her service factors in comparison with 54.6% for Korneeva. The Russian, nonetheless, has been much better on return, profitable 54.9% of return factors to Keys’ 43.5%.
Tennis Abstract’s hard-court Elo scores rank Korneeva twenty seventh, suggesting she’s way more harmful than her WTA rating (69th) would counsel.
Keys vs. Korneeva Pick – 21.5 Total Games
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Taylor Fritz vs. Darwin Blanch US Open Prediction – Tuesday, September 1
Match Winner Payouts: Fritz 1.02x | Blanch 14.28x
Tournament Round: First Round
2026 Record Entering the US Open: Fritz 31-15 | Blanch 1-3
Head-to-Head Record: First Career Meeting
Scheduled Time: 12:40 p.m. ET
How to Watch: ESPN
Taylor Fritz is a large favourite to advance previous fellow American Darwin Blanch, and it’s straightforward to see why.
Blanch comes into the US Open in dismal type, as he’s driving a seven-match shedding skid throughout all ranges that dates again to early July. Worse but, all seven defeats have come towards gamers ranked effectively outdoors the highest 50, together with his highest-ranked opponent being world No. 85 Rinky Hijikata.
The 18-year-old has primarily competed in Challenger occasions this season, but he nonetheless carries a lackluster 18-22 file throughout all ranges. Over his younger profession, he’s 0-2 vs. top-50 opponents and has by no means confronted one ranked inside the highest 30.
Fritz comes into the US Open ranked No. 10 on this planet, and courting again to the start of grass season, he’s reached not less than the quarterfinals in 5 of his final six occasions, together with Wimbledon. This summer season, he gained the title in Washington, additional reinforcing his wonderful type.
Unfortunately for Blanch, this seems like a mismatch between two gamers at utterly completely different phases of their careers. Tennis Abstract forecasts a 97.9% win chance for Fritz.
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Taylor Fritz vs. Darwin Blanch Pick for the US Open on Tuesday
Blanch’s final 4 losses have all are available in straight units. His opponents in these defeats have been ranked 108th, 99th, a hundred and seventy fifth, and eighty fifth.
Fritz is 6-1 vs. gamers ranked outdoors the highest 100 this yr, with the lone loss approaching clay, simply his weakest floor. Across these six victories, he’s dropped only one set, and three of the straight-set wins got here in Grand Slams.
On arduous courts in 2026, Fritz has gained 70.6% of his service factors, the fifth-best mark among the many high 50 gamers. His 17.6% ace fee in that pattern is the second-best determine.
Blanch has misplaced six of his eight tour-level matches on arduous courts. Both wins got here towards gamers ranked outdoors the highest 70.
Fritz vs. Blanch Pick – 31 Total Games
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Adolfo Daniel Vallejo vs. Gael Monfils US Open Prediction – Tuesday, September 1
Match Winner Payouts: Vallejo 1.69x | Monfils 2.08x
Tournament Round: First Round
2026 Record Entering the US Open: Vallejo 13-11 | Monfils 4-9
Head-to-Head Record: First Career Meeting
Scheduled Time: 7 p.m. ET
How to Watch: ESPN2
Gael Monfils is ready to retire on the finish of this season, however he’ll have not less than yet another likelihood to wow the gang on the US Open. The Frenchman turns 40 in the present day, but he could have already hit the shot of the match in blended doubles final week.
Monfils’ signature athleticism nonetheless pops up in spurts, however as his 4-9 singles file exhibits, he’s struggled to win matches amidst a restricted schedule. Despite that, he might have an opportunity towards Adolfo Daniel Vallejo.
The 22-year-old Vallejo has performed a really clay-heavy schedule this season and has solely six tour-level hard-court matches below his belt, all of which have come this summer season. He cut up these matches 3-3, although his most up-to-date outing was a 6-2, 6-0 beatdown by the hands of Botic van de Zandschulp.
Overall, Vallejo has a middling 14-19 profession file throughout all ranges on this floor, with the overwhelming majority of these matches coming towards gamers ranked outdoors the highest 100.
Three of Monfils’ 4 wins have come on arduous courts this yr, and he nonetheless ranks a good thirty eighth on arduous courts, per Tennis Abstract’s Elo scores. While he went simply 1-2 in his two occasions earlier than coming to New York, each losses went to a deciding third set. One of these three-set defeats got here towards Learner Tien, who’s presently ranked fifteenth.
Although Vallejo received first rate outcomes from his string of hard-court matches, Tennis Abstract nonetheless ranks him 149th on the floor in comparison with 76th on clay.
At his age, Monfils has been vulnerable to working out of fuel in prolonged matches, and that’s one thing that may’t be dominated out on Tuesday night time. However, if his physique holds up, his expertise might win out towards a clay specialist enjoying in his first-ever US Open.
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Adolfo Daniel Vallejo vs. Gael Monfils Pick for the US Open on Tuesday
In 2026, each of Monfils’ Grand Slam matches have gone 4 or extra units, leading to 47 and 40 complete video games.
Monfils is a extra satisfactory 3-3 when dealing with gamers ranked outdoors the highest 50 on arduous courts this season.
Across Vallejo’s six summer season hard-court matches, he’s produced a modest 6.5% ace fee paired with an elevated 7.4% double-fault fee. That might make him extra vulnerable to being damaged on serve.
However, Vallejo has additionally returned effectively, breaking his opponents 25.5% of the time in these matches. That might assist him return the favor towards Monfils, who’s produced tour-average serve shot high quality over the previous 52 weeks, per Tennis Data Innovations.
Vallejo vs. Monfils Pick – 38.5 Total Games
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Make US Open Picks Today on PrizePicks
The first spherical concludes on Tuesday with Madison Keys, Taylor Fritz, and Gael Monfils among the many notable names in motion. Which gamers will advance to the subsequent spherical?
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